Validity of thresholds other than 0.95
| Estimation Model 2 | Estimation Model 3 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutoff | Estimated discontinuity (robust) | Effective number of observations | Estimated discontinuity (robust) | Effective number of observations | ||||||
| Coef. | Std. Err. | P > z | Left | Right | Coef. | Std. Err. | P > z | Left | Right | |
| 0.935 | 0.032 | 0.064 | 0.618 | 239 | 497 | 0.034 | 0.067 | 0.610 | 303 | 899 |
| 0.940 | −0.142 | 0.066 | 0.032 | 426 | 694 | −0.110 | 0.078 | 0.157 | 466 | 861 |
| 0.945 | 0.160 | 0.165 | 0.331 | 644 | 1,127 | 0.178 | 0.170 | 0.294 | 826 | 1,693 |
| 0.950 | −0.454 | 0.132 | 0.001 | 1,139 | 1,486 | −0.444 | 0.134 | 0.001 | 1,451 | 2,781 |
| 0.955 | 0.047 | 0.040 | 0.241 | 796 | 818 | −0.062 | 0.056 | 0.268 | 1,015 | 1,076 |
| 0.960 | 0.002 | 0.012 | 0.899 | 723 | 1,014 | 0.005 | 0.013 | 0.724 | 813 | 1,158 |
| 0.965 | −0.006 | 0.005 | 0.232 | 851 | 837 | −0.003 | 0.004 | 0.461 | 1,046 | 1,092 |
| Estimation Model 2 | Estimation Model 3 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutoff | Estimated discontinuity (robust) | Effective number of observations | Estimated discontinuity (robust) | Effective number of observations | ||||||
| Coef. | Std. Err. | P > z | Left | Right | Coef. | Std. Err. | P > z | Left | Right | |
| 0.032 | 0.064 | 0.618 | 239 | 497 | 0.034 | 0.067 | 0.610 | 303 | 899 | |
| −0.142 | 0.066 | 0.032 | 426 | 694 | −0.110 | 0.078 | 0.157 | 466 | 861 | |
| 0.160 | 0.165 | 0.331 | 644 | 1,127 | 0.178 | 0.170 | 0.294 | 826 | 1,693 | |
| 0.950 | −0.454 | 0.132 | 0.001 | 1,139 | 1,486 | −0.444 | 0.134 | 0.001 | 1,451 | 2,781 |
| 0.047 | 0.040 | 0.241 | 796 | 818 | −0.062 | 0.056 | 0.268 | 1,015 | 1,076 | |
| 0.002 | 0.012 | 0.899 | 723 | 1,014 | 0.005 | 0.013 | 0.724 | 813 | 1,158 | |
| −0.006 | 0.005 | 0.232 | 851 | 837 | −0.003 | 0.004 | 0.461 | 1,046 | 1,092 | |
This is a summary of the 14 estimated results for Models 2 and 3 in Table 3, with only the cutoff values changed. Only the “estimated discontinuity” and the “effective number of observations” are presented for each estimation model. The highlighted line at 0.950 is reproduced from Table 3 as a benchmark. The effective number of observations is the number of observations within the range of 0.95±bw
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