Table 2

Linear ARDL benchmark

Panel/ItemStatisticValuep-value/Decision
Automatic ARDLSelected modelARDL(3,0,2,0,0,1) 
Automatic ARDLObservations/R2/Adj. R2116/0.390/0.325 
Automatic ARDLECT−0.07790.020
Automatic ARDLBounds test F2.032No rejection at 10%, 5%, 1%
Automatic ARDLLong-run lnWGP0.9420.022
Manual ARDL p(2),q(2)Observations/R2/Adj. R2118/0.364/0.255 
Manual ARDL p(2),q(2)ECT−0.08490.022
Manual ARDL p(2),q(2)LR INF/INT/EXR/GDP/WGP−2.486/−2.484/0.272/−0.001/0.612All insignificant
Manual ARDL p(2),q(2)Short-run joint WGPF = 12.140.000
Manual ARDL diagnosticsBG lag2/RESET/Normality0.042/0.012/0.008Diagnostic weaknesses

Note(s): The linear ARDL is reported as a benchmark. Diagnostic weaknesses and weak bounds-test evidence motivate the NARDL specification

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