Table 3

Rating agencies' assessment dimensions and criteria for context when assessing financial risks and sustainability of LGs

DimensionsCriteria
Macro environment context
  • Country's/Region's overall income, economic growth and economic diversification (Moody's)

  • Wealth and income levels – GDP per capita with local qualitative adjustments (S&P)

  • Economic stability (Fitch)

  • Financial market development, affected by endogenous, exogenous and specific-sector factors (Fitch)

  • ESG-related factors (Fitch)

  • Sovereign rating (Fitch)

Institutional framework and governance issues
  • Rules and procedures about governing powers and responsibilities (robust and clearly defined in the law; transparency in any change) (Moody's)

  • Fiscal planning and budget management; fiscal policies such as debt and deficit ceilings (Moody's, S&P)

  • Fiscal controls, transparent accounts and in-year monitoring and reporting (Moody's)

  • Adequacy of the revenues to the expenditures (S&P)

  • Predictability (frequency, implementation and outcomes) of the reforms affecting the division of responsibilities and revenues between levels of government (S&P)

  • Operational environment, which includes the revenue mix, tax autonomy, intergovernmental relations, funding and any equalisation mechanisms, expenditure profile, level and mix of responsibilities and bankruptcy regime (Fitch)

  • Easy access to funding (domestic capital market, banks, public sector funding) (Moody's)

  • Rescue mechanisms and exceptional support from Central government (Fitch, S&P)

  • External support (bank and ad hoc loans from government (Fitch)

Accounting and reporting system
  • National regulation of public-sector accounting systems and standards of financial reporting and planning, in the transparency and accountability sub-dimension (S&P)

  • Sector-wide accounting and reporting policies for borrowing, and control and monitoring (Fitch)

  • Accounting policies, reporting and transparency (Fitch)

Risk profile
  • Financial management ability – political and managerial strength, affecting financial planning and implementation; and liquidity, debt and contingent liabilities management (S&P)

  • Cash flow capacity (revenue and expenditure structure), stable debt service (financial commitments) with adequate liquidity and contingent liabilities (Fitch)

  • (Debt and investment) risk mitigants (included in the IF by Moody's; Fitch)

  • Revenue and expenditure flexibility, included in the IF (Moody's)

  • Volatility of expected cash flows, from operations and investment activities (Fitch)

Source(s): Authors’ own work

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