Accounting for context in LGs’ financial health analysis: the comparative-integrated analytical model
| Step 1 rating agencies | Step 2a Literature review | Step 2b Guidelines and standards by international setters | Final framework | |
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| Criteria | Criteria | Criteria | Criteria, grouped in sub-dimensions | Dimensions |
| 0.1. Administrative traditions (administrative traditions, citizen orientation/structural concentration – persistent nationwide attributes) [S2a.1; S2a.2] | 0. Administrative traditions | ||
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| 1. International and national macroeconomic, political and financial operating environment | |
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| 2. Institutional, fiscal, governance and intergovernmental environment |
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| 3. Accounting and reporting system |
| Step 1 rating agencies | Step 2a Literature review | Step 2b Guidelines and standards by international setters | Final framework | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criteria | Criteria | Criteria | Criteria, grouped in sub-dimensions | Dimensions |
S2a.1. Administrative traditions: (Continental Napoleonic; Continental Federal; Nordic; Anglo-Saxon; Central Eastern European; South Eastern European) ( S2a.2. Citizen orientation/structural concentration ( | 0.1. Administrative traditions (administrative traditions, citizen orientation/structural concentration – persistent nationwide attributes) [S2a.1; S2a.2] | |||
S1.1. Country's/Region's overall income, economic growth and economic diversification (Moody's) S1.2. Wealth and income levels – GDP per capita with local qualitative adjustments (S&P) S1.3. Economic stability (Fitch) S1.4. Financial market development, affected by endogenous, exogenous and specific-sector factors (Fitch) S1.5. Sovereign rating (Fitch) | S2b.1. Growth, inflation, interest rates, currency depreciation (IMF) S2b.2. Economic and political uncertainty and risks (IMF, IPSASB) S2b.3. Oil prices (IMF) S2b.4. Population ageing (IMF, IPSASB) S2b.5. Future economic and demographic conditions (IPSASB) S2b.6. Assumptions about country and global trends (e.g., productivity, competitiveness, population age, income, educational level and workforce participation) (IPSASB) S2b.7. Purchasing Power Parities (OECD) S2b.8. Population, GDP (OECD, ECB) S2b.9. Citizens and other stakeholders' sentiments and reactions (IMF) | 1.1.1. Sovereign credit rating and perceived credit risk [S1.5] 1.1.2. Economic and political uncertainty, governance and risk factors [S2b.2] 1.1.3. Forward-looking policy and global trend assumptions (productivity, competitiveness, etc.). [S2b.6] 1.1.4. External comparability and international positioning (purchasing power parties, population/GDP scale, country and global trends) [S2b.7; S2b.8; S2b.6] 1.2.1. Financial market development and sector-specific conditions [S1.4] 1.2.2. Market-sensitive macro-financial factors (interest rates, inflation expectations, exchange rate dynamics) [S2b.1] 1.2.3. Exposure to commodity price fluctuations, particularly oil [S2b.3] (core indicators of economic capacity, stability, income levels and structural characteristics) 1.3.1. Overall economic size, income level, growth performance and diversification [S1.1; S1.2; S2b.8] 1.3.2. Economic stability and macro-financial resilience (inflation, interest rates, currency depreciation) [S1.3; S2b.1] 1.3.3. Structural long-term economic outlook (demographics, productivity, competitiveness) and citizens/stakeholders' sentiments and reactions [S2b.4; S2b.5; S2b.6; S2b.9] | ||
S1.6. Rules and procedures about governing powers and responsibilities (robust and clearly defined in the law; transparency in any change) (Moody's) S1.7. Fiscal planning and budget management; fiscal policies such as debt and deficit ceilings (Moody's, S&P) S1.8. Fiscal controls, transparent accounts and in-year monitoring and reporting (Moody's) S1.9. Adequacy of the revenues to the expenditures (S&P) S1.10. Predictability (frequency, implementation and outcomes) of the reforms affecting the division of responsibilities and revenues between levels of governments (S&P) S1.11. Operational environment, which includes the revenue mix, tax autonomy, intergovernmental relations, funding and any equalisation mechanisms, expenditure profile, level and mix of responsibilities and bankruptcy regime (Fitch) S1.12. Easy access to funding (domestic capital market, banks, public sector funding) (Moody's) S1.13. Rescue mechanisms and exceptional support from Central government (Fitch, S&P) S1.14. External support (bank and ad hoc loans from government (Fitch) | S2a.3. Legal constraints - an assessment should include at least fiscal rules, debt limits and insolvency procedures ( S2a.4. Supervision and accountability mechanisms: No model clearly emerges from the literature, but an assessment should include at least: frequency, enforcement power, compliance vs transparency and performance-based accountability, independence, e.g. administrative control vs managerial autonomy ( S2a.5. Intergovernmental arrangements: degree of vertical dispersion of authority, degree of horizontal coordination ( | S2b.10. Nature of the entity and regulatory environment (IPSASB) S2b.11. Revenues shared with the central government vs local discretionary revenues (IMF) S2b.12. Key institutional characteristics, such as government accountability and governance, to build trust (IMF) S2b.13. Electoral cycles (IMF) S2b.14. Transparency and effective communication strategies, for fostering public trust (IMF) S2b.15. Transfer dependency and vertical fiscal imbalances (IMF) | 2.1.1. Legal framework, governing powers, responsibilities and institutional clarity [S1.1; S2a.1; S2a.3] 2.1.2. Governance quality, accountability, supervision and enforcement mechanisms [S2a.2; S2b.3] 2.1.3. Transparency, communication and institutional trust-building [S1.3; S2b.5] 2.1.4. Regulatory and operational environment of the entity [S1.6; S2b.1] 2.2.1. Fiscal planning, budgeting discipline and policy frameworks [S1.2; S2a.1] 2.2.2. Fiscal controls, monitoring and reporting quality [S1.3] 2.2.3. Revenue adequacy relative to expenditure responsibilities [S1.4; S2b.2] 2.2.4. Predictability and stability of reforms affecting responsibilities and revenues [S1.5] 3.1. Access to funding and liquidity sources [S1.7; S1.9] 3.2. Intergovernmental support and rescue mechanisms [S1.8] 4.1. Intergovernmental arrangements, revenue-sharing and coordination mechanisms [S1.6; S1.5; S2b.2; S2a.3] 5.1. Electoral and political cycles influencing fiscal decisions [S2b.4] 5.2. Citizen and stakeholder trust, expectations and engagement [S2b.3; S2b.5] | |
S1.15. National regulation of public-sector accounting systems and standards of financial reporting and planning, in the transparency and accountability subdimension (S&P) S1.16. Sector-wide accounting and reporting policies for borrowing and control and monitoring (Fitch) S1.17. Accounting policies, reporting and transparency (Fitch) | S2a.6. Accrual accounting vs others S2a.7. Adoption of IPSAS S2a.8. Non-financial information | S2b.16. Comparison of fiscal reality in cash basis (OECD) S2b.17. Accrual basis and international standards essential to improve the comparability and transparency of government financial reports (IPSASB, OECD) S2b.18. ESA2010 (ECB) S2b.19. Government Financial Statistics (GFS) – cash or non-cash (a spectrum of recording basis other than cash, including accrual) information (IMF) | 3.1.1. Regulatory framework for public-sector accounting, reporting, borrowing and monitoring [S1.15; S1.16; S1.17] (the conceptual foundation--basis of accounting, alignment with international standards and statistical/reporting frameworks enabling comparability and high-quality public-sector information) 3.2.1. Accounting basis and methodological foundations (cash, accrual, hybrid; GFS classifications) [S2a.6; S2b.15; S2b.18] 3.2.2. Adoption of international financial reporting standards (IPSAS, OECD, ECB frameworks) [S2a.7; S2b.16; S2b.17] 3.2.3. International comparability and harmonised reporting frameworks [S2b.15; S2b.16; S2b.17; S2b.18] 3.3.1. Integrated, sustainability and non-financial reporting requirements (ESG, SDG, IR) [S2a.8] | |
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