Table 8.

Second-stage IV estimates of the association between consumers’ inflation expectations and earnings management (accrual-based and real)

VariablesPOSDANEGDA
Panel A
CONSACCINFLEXP0.0283*** (7.473)0.0272*** (7.288)
LEV−0.000390 (−0.183)−0.0147*** (−7.047)
SALESGR0.0157*** (12.54)−0.000674 (−0.542)
SIZE−0.00182*** (−12.53)−0.00111*** (−7.683)
LOSS0.00271*** (4.333)0.00726*** (10.95)
Constant0.0152*** (4.414)0.0137*** (4.496)
Observations36,30935,755
Number of firms2,1702,169
Degrees of freedom36,25935,705
Country FEYesYes
Quarter FENoNo
Industry FEYesYes
Kleibergen–Paap rk Wald F statistic176.07174.20
Endogeneity p-value0.0000.000
R20.13830.1699
Panel B
VariablesABNCFOABNPROD
CONSREALINFLEXP−0.0155*** (−2.580)−0.00363 (−0.606)
LEV0.00980 (1.539)−0.0103** (−2.149)
ROA−0.831*** (−24.06)−0.230*** (−9.456)
SALESGR0.0141*** (8.913)0.00586*** (4.218)
SIZE−0.00468*** (−9.607)0.00239*** (5.105)
LOSS−0.000857 (−0.547)0.00351** (2.583)
Constant0.0442*** (4.555)−0.0178* (−1.738)
Observations69,19663,553
Number of firms2,2082,021
Degrees of freedom69,14563,502
Country FEYesYes
Quarter FENoNo
Industry FEYesYes
Kleibergen–Paap rk Wald F statistic366.77314.99
Endogeneity p-value0.00360.4483
R20.19220.0537
Note(s):

This table presents the second stage regression results on the association between consumers’ inflation expectations and earnings management (accrual-based and real). The Instrumental Variable used is the surprises of the ECB(ECBSURP). Z-statistics reported in parentheses are based on standard errors clustered by firm. The extreme values of all continuous variables are winsorized at the 1st and 99th percentiles. Definition and measurement of variables are presented in Table 1. *, ** and *** denote significance at the 10, 5 and 1% levels, respectively. All predictor variables were assessed for multicollinearity and quarter fixed effects were excluded. Variance inflation factor (VIF) values for the remaining variables are below 5, indicating no significant multicollinearity

Source(s): Authors’ own work

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