Table 11

The stock-selection timing-flow relationship

UKFranceGermany
d1HighNegi,t−1−2.123**2.368**−1.198
(−1.99)(2.22)(−1.12)
d2MidNegi,t−1−5.395**0.4810.132
(−5.06)(0.44)(0.11)
d3LowNegi,t-1−1.0020.5290.034
(−0.94)(0.49)(0.02)
d4LowPosi,t−16.862**−0.1120.313
(6.43)(−0.10)(0.27)
d5MidPosi,t−13.924**−0.2830.497
(3.67)(−0.26)(0.45)
d6HighPosi,t−14.312**−2.612**2.142**
(4.04)(−2.45)(2.01)
Log fund TNAi,t−1−0.224**−0.126**0.023
(−3.41)(−2.54)(0.36)
Log fund agei,t−1−0.648**−0.030−0.332**
(−3.94)(−0.29)(−2.15)
Expense ratioi,t−1−0.048−0.026−0.007
(−0.58)(−0.32)(−0.04)
Fund returni,t−10.0650.049−0.016
(1.40)(0.73)(−0.15)
Return volatilityi,t−1−0.1080.268−0.094
(−0.16)(0.25)(−0.12)
Fund flowi,t−10.0200.112**0.163
(0.63)(1.97)(1.79)
Cash holdingsi,t−1−0.0100.009−0.007
(−0.31)(0.66)(−0.38)
No of sharesi,t−10.0050.006−0.010
(0.18)(0.11)(−0.04)
ESG scorei,t−1−0.116**0.102**−0.076
(−2.28)(2.01)(−1.65)
R20.610.470.42
Fund FEYesYesYes
Time FEYesYesYes
Observations28,1618,6726,844

Note(s): The table above presents the results of a panel regression of fund flows on dummy variables denoting the level of stock-selection skills. The dependent variable is Flowi,t which is the normalized fund flow at month t and is defined as the monthly net fund flow divided by the fund's TNA at the beginning of the month. The terms d1HighNegi,t-1, d2MidNegi,t-1, and d3LowNegi,t-1are indicator variables that take the value of 1 if the fund i displays a high-negative (t ≤ −1.96), medium-negative (−1.96 < t < −1.28), or low negative (−1.28 ≤ t < 0) timing coefficient (gi) and zero otherwise. Dummy variables d4LowPosi,t-1, d5MidPosi,t-1, and d6HighPosi,t-1 are defined analogously for the right tail of the timing estimates distribution; i.e. low-positive (0 ≤ t ≤ 1.28), medium-positive (1.28 < t < 1.96), and high-positive (t ≥ 1.96). Xi,k,t-1 includes all the remaining control variables mentioned in Table 10. We also control for time and fund fixed effects. We employ a cell-means model by estimating the regression without an intercept. T-statistics are provided in parentheses. ** denotes statistical significance at the 5% level. The sample period spans from January 1, 2012, to December 31, 2024

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