Table 8

Forecasted topic growth trends (2025–2030)

TopicTopic nameForecast trendInterpretation
0Tourist Behaviour and Travel IntentionSharp GrowthRising sharply, likely driven by AI, personalisation, and sustainability nudging
1Green Practices in the Hotel IndustrySharp GrowthTracking Topic 0 closely, operational greening remains highly relevant
2Stakeholder Engagement in Sustainable TourismSlight GrowthMinimal increase is still relevant, but it is losing novelty
3Climate-Oriented Sustainable Tourism DevelopmentFlatThe forecast is a stagnant strategic climate discourse plateauing in tourism research
4Carbon Emissions and Energy ManagementGradual GrowthStable rise driven by global carbon policy and decarbonisation pressure
5Sustainability Indicators and Policy FrameworksGradual DeclineUnstable, declining older frameworks are being replaced or seen as saturated
6Smart Tourism Technologies and Research TrendsGradual GrowthThe slow, steady climb reflects increased tech integration
7Ecological Coordination and Spatial PlanningGradual DeclineThe forecast shows a fading academic interest in spatial sustainability planning
8Impact of COVID-19 on Tourism SystemsFlatIt peaked in 2020 and is expected to fade completely by 2026
9Disaster Resilience and Risk Management in TourismGradual DeclineSteady declined, and crisis management lost focus post-COVID
10Cultural Heritage and Urban TourismStableNiche and consistency: There is not much change in the forecasted volume
11Coastal and Marine Tourism ActivitiesStableFlat projection, steady but low attention, may lack momentum for innovation
12Circular Economy in Water and Waste ManagementStable/Slight GrowthSlow growth is emerging as an auxiliary sustainability theme
13Rural and Community-Based AgritourismStableStable interest, often localised in development studies
14Sustainability Education in TourismStableForecast remains constant, limited to pedagogy-related works
15Tourist Willingness to Pay and Destination ChoiceStableRelated to Topic 0, no distinct momentum independently
16National Parks and Protected Area TourismSharp DeclineClear drop, possibly due to fewer fresh angles or low-tech integration
17Ecotourism and Geotourism for ConservationStableNiche theme, consistent but without significant forecasted growth
18Tourism Modelling and Fuzzy Decision ApproachesSlight GrowthMethod-focused potential rebound via innovative decision support systems
Source(s): Authors' work

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