Quantitative RTDS results
| EP statistics | I statistics | D statistics | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Projection | Mean (%) | IQR | SD | Mean | IQR | SD | Mean | IQR | SD |
| P1: AI is adapted and accepted by employees and management, and is fully incorporated in daily operations | 77.21 | 26.75 | 18.90 | 4.19 | 1.00 | 0.69 | 4.14 | 1.00 | 0.69 |
| P2: Organizational training of employees is planned, created and executed exclusively by AI | 58.21 | 42.00 | 27.64 | 3.41 | 1.00 | 0.73 | 3.23 | 2.00 | 0.98 |
| P3: Only those companies using shared AI solutions for collaboration, cooperation and transparency in the supply chain network will survive | 59.73 | 39.00 | 25.22 | 3.63 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 3.23 | 1.00 | 0.87 |
| P4: Data protection and data security of AI applications are ensured | 45.80 | 34.25 | 25.31 | 3.59 | 1.00 | 0.88 | 4.11 | 2.00 | 0.88 |
| P5: Self-optimized planning processes and automated decision-making are done by AI | 80.06 | 15.00 | 15.99 | 4.16 | 1.00 | 0.65 | 4.14 | 0.75 | 0.69 |
| P6: Delivery routes are optimized (costs, time, security, safety and service levels) | 86.86 | 20.75 | 13.27 | 4.31 | 1.00 | 0.63 | 4.56 | 1.00 | 0.53 |
| P7: AI is the key technology for completely unmanned factories, including automated maintenance | 64.29 | 40.50 | 28.10 | 3.94 | 0.00 | 0.76 | 3.66 | 1.00 | 0.95 |
| P8: AI enables companies to automatically identify and verify suppliers that best meet their requirements for collaboration | 72.99 | 30.00 | 20.28 | 3.81 | 0.00 | 0.75 | 3.93 | 0.00 | 0.71 |
| P9: AI automatically negotiates contracts with suppliers | 50.20 | 40.00 | 24.04 | 3.30 | 1.00 | 1.03 | 3.01 | 2.00 | 0.99 |
| P10: AI improves employee safety by preventively eliminating all sources of hazards | 50.86 | 36.50 | 22.70 | 3.27 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 3.83 | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| P11: AI is enabling mass customization through autonomous production processes | 64.94 | 30.00 | 21.18 | 3.61 | 1.00 | 0.64 | 3.59 | 1.00 | 0.77 |
| P12: AI can make recommendations based on customers’ purchasing patterns, which prevents returns (almost) completely | 71.50 | 26.50 | 23.20 | 4.07 | 0.75 | 0.71 | 4.17 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| P13: AI can assess the condition of goods/products throughout their lifecycle, contributing to a circular economy | 73.37 | 13.00 | 17.52 | 3.96 | 0.00 | 0.69 | 4.13 | 1.00 | 0.85 |
| I statistics | D statistics | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Projection | Mean (%) | Mean | Mean | ||||||
| 77.21 | 26.75 | 18.90 | |||||||
| 58.21 | 42.00 | 27.64 | 3.23 | 2.00 | 0.98 | ||||
| 59.73 | 39.00 | 25.22 | |||||||
| 45.80 | 34.25 | 25.31 | 4.11 | 2.00 | 0.88 | ||||
| 64.29 | 40.50 | 28.10 | |||||||
| 72.99 | 30.00 | 20.28 | |||||||
| 50.20 | 40.00 | 24.04 | 3.01 | 2.00 | 0.99 | ||||
| 50.86 | 36.50 | 22.70 | |||||||
| 64.94 | 30.00 | 21.18 | |||||||
| 71.50 | 26.50 | 23.20 | |||||||
| 0.85 | |||||||||
Note(s): Projections with consensus among panelists are marked in italics; EP: expected probability of occurrence in percent (0–100); I: impact in case of occurrence (five-point Likert scale; 1: Very low, 5: Very high); D: desirability of occurrence (five-point Likert scale; 1: Very low, 5: Very high); IQR: interquartile range; SD: standard deviation
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