Table 3

Quantitative RTDS results

EP statisticsI statisticsD statistics
ProjectionMean (%)IQRSDMeanIQRSDMeanIQRSD
P1: AI is adapted and accepted by employees and management, and is fully incorporated in daily operations77.2126.7518.904.191.000.694.141.000.69
P2: Organizational training of employees is planned, created and executed exclusively by AI58.2142.0027.643.411.000.733.232.000.98
P3: Only those companies using shared AI solutions for collaboration, cooperation and transparency in the supply chain network will survive59.7339.0025.223.631.000.803.231.000.87
P4: Data protection and data security of AI applications are ensured45.8034.2525.313.591.000.884.112.000.88
P5: Self-optimized planning processes and automated decision-making are done by AI80.0615.0015.994.161.000.654.140.750.69
P6: Delivery routes are optimized (costs, time, security, safety and service levels)86.8620.7513.274.311.000.634.561.000.53
P7: AI is the key technology for completely unmanned factories, including automated maintenance64.2940.5028.103.940.000.763.661.000.95
P8: AI enables companies to automatically identify and verify suppliers that best meet their requirements for collaboration72.9930.0020.283.810.000.753.930.000.71
P9: AI automatically negotiates contracts with suppliers50.2040.0024.043.301.001.033.012.000.99
P10: AI improves employee safety by preventively eliminating all sources of hazards50.8636.5022.703.271.000.903.831.000.82
P11: AI is enabling mass customization through autonomous production processes64.9430.0021.183.611.000.643.591.000.77
P12: AI can make recommendations based on customers’ purchasing patterns, which prevents returns (almost) completely71.5026.5023.204.070.750.714.171.000.80
P13: AI can assess the condition of goods/products throughout their lifecycle, contributing to a circular economy73.3713.0017.523.960.000.694.131.000.85

Note(s): Projections with consensus among panelists are marked in italics; EP: expected probability of occurrence in percent (0–100); I: impact in case of occurrence (five-point Likert scale; 1: Very low, 5: Very high); D: desirability of occurrence (five-point Likert scale; 1: Very low, 5: Very high); IQR: interquartile range; SD: standard deviation

Source(s): Authors’ own work

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