Table 7 Bootstrap significance tests for...

Table 7

Bootstrap significance tests for IMUGI relative to external benchmark models

Benchmark	dAUC	dAUPRC	Obs
IMUGI vs Climatology	0.4055***	0.1610*	4,991
IMUGI vs Shumway DTH	0.1355**	0.1032	4,991
IMUGI vs Cox PH	0.3381***	0.1546^†	4,991

Note(s): Bootstrap test with B = 1,000 replications and 21-day block resampling. AUC and AUPRC are computed from raw probabilities. dAUC and dAUPRC denote IMUGI minus benchmark performance. ***p < 0.01, ^**p < 0.05, ^*p < 0.10, ^†p < 0.15

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