Table 3.

Panel a): p-values for the MCS out-of-sample forecasting evaluation based on the TR statistics. Loss function: Frobenius norm loss(F), QLike, global minumum variance (GMV) and realized portfolio variance (RPV). panel b): annualized portfolio volatility, volatility reduction relative to the DCC benchmark, annualized portfolio return, and sharpe ratio for the GMV portfolio. Estimation period: January 2, 2015 – december 30, 2022. Forecasting period: January 3, 2023 – april 30, 2025

Panel a)FQLikeGMVRPV
DCC0.95610.27160.04380.0336
DCCXTPU0.95610.06540.04380.0336
DCCXDummy0.97800.27160.26260.0336
DCCXTPU×Dummy0.95611.00001.00000.0336
DCCXFull1.00000.06540.04381.0000
Panel b)Ann. volatility (%)Relative reduction (%)Ann. returns (%)Sharpe ratio
DCC1.08040.46310.4286
DCCXTPU1.07840.18280.44240.4102
DCCXDummy1.08030.00490.46530.4307
DCCXTPU×Dummy1.07990.04040.47650.4413
DCCXFull1.07490.50430.42900.3991

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