Panel a): p-values for the MCS out-of-sample forecasting evaluation based on the statistics. Loss function: Frobenius norm loss(F), QLike, global minumum variance (GMV) and realized portfolio variance (RPV). panel b): annualized portfolio volatility, volatility reduction relative to the DCC benchmark, annualized portfolio return, and sharpe ratio for the GMV portfolio. Estimation period: January 2, 2015 – december 30, 2022. Forecasting period: January 3, 2023 – april 30, 2025
| Panel a) | F | QLike | GMV | RPV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCC | 0.9561 | 0.2716 | 0.0438 | 0.0336 |
| 0.9561 | 0.0654 | 0.0438 | 0.0336 | |
| 0.9780 | 0.2716 | 0.2626 | 0.0336 | |
| 0.9561 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 0.0336 | |
| 1.0000 | 0.0654 | 0.0438 | 1.0000 | |
| Panel b) | Ann. volatility (%) | Relative reduction (%) | Ann. returns (%) | Sharpe ratio |
| DCC | 1.0804 | – | 0.4631 | 0.4286 |
| 1.0784 | 0.1828 | 0.4424 | 0.4102 | |
| 1.0803 | 0.0049 | 0.4653 | 0.4307 | |
| 1.0799 | 0.0404 | 0.4765 | 0.4413 | |
| 1.0749 | 0.5043 | 0.4290 | 0.3991 |
| Panel a) | F | QLike | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9561 | 0.2716 | 0.0438 | 0.0336 | |
| 0.9561 | 0.0654 | 0.0438 | 0.0336 | |
| 0.9780 | 0.2716 | 0.2626 | 0.0336 | |
| 0.9561 | 1.0000 | 1.0000 | 0.0336 | |
| 1.0000 | 0.0654 | 0.0438 | 1.0000 | |
| Panel b) | Ann. volatility (%) | Relative reduction (%) | Ann. returns (%) | Sharpe ratio |
| 1.0804 | – | 0.4631 | 0.4286 | |
| 1.0784 | 0.1828 | 0.4424 | 0.4102 | |
| 1.0803 | 0.0049 | 0.4653 | 0.4307 | |
| 1.0799 | 0.0404 | 0.4765 | 0.4413 | |
| 1.0749 | 0.5043 | 0.4290 | 0.3991 |
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