Cumulative average abnormal returns (CAAR) by event and EUDR exposure tier
| Event | Tier | [0, +1] | [−1, +1] | [−5, +5] | [−10, +30] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAAR | t | CAAR | t | CAAR | t | CAAR | t | ||
| E1 (Adoption) | T1 | −0.79 | −1.12 | −1.43* | −2.11 | −3.80** | −2.76 | −2.36 | −0.84 |
| T2 | 0.43 | 0.25 | −0.05 | −0.03 | 3.19 | 1.80 | 8.65 | 1.64 | |
| T3 | 0.18 | 0.28 | 0.24 | 0.33 | −0.12 | −0.11 | 4.12 | 1.56 | |
| E2 (OJ Publication) | T1 | 0.98 | 1.58 | 1.15 | 1.67 | 5.51*** | 4.00 | 10.19** | 2.85 |
| T2 | 0.38 | 0.53 | 1.44 | 0.85 | 2.31 | 0.71 | −0.52 | −0.06 | |
| T3 | 0.42 | 0.96 | 0.37 | 0.69 | 3.55*** | 3.21 | 6.19*** | 3.34 | |
| E3 (Delay Proposal) | T1 | 1.03*** | 4.02 | 0.77* | 1.80 | 2.25* | 2.10 | 12.09*** | 4.51 |
| T2 | −1.38* | −2.45 | −0.59 | −0.85 | 0.54 | 0.51 | 1.65 | 0.41 | |
| T3 | 0.71** | 2.10 | 0.13 | 0.33 | 2.85*** | 3.25 | 2.79* | 1.67 | |
| E4 (Council Adoption) | T1 | −0.12 | −0.17 | −2.89** | −2.36 | −2.23 | −1.43 | −2.18 | −0.68 |
| T2 | 1.29 | 1.68 | 0.70 | 1.12 | 2.09 | 1.49 | 3.40 | 0.99 | |
| T3 | −0.28 | −0.96 | −0.13 | −0.33 | 0.06 | 0.07 | −3.25* | −1.69 | |
| E5 (2nd Revision) | T1 | −0.66 | −0.94 | −0.62 | −0.90 | −8.72*** | −4.29 | −14.38*** | −4.52 |
| T2 | −0.05 | −0.06 | 0.31 | 0.55 | −3.19 | −1.32 | −3.11 | −0.71 | |
| T3 | 0.14 | 0.41 | 0.24 | 0.64 | −2.01** | −2.25 | 3.33 | 1.03 | |
| E6 (2nd Rev. OJ) | T1 | 0.79* | 1.88 | −0.48 | −0.73 | −1.48 | −1.19 | −11.79*** | −2.96 |
| T2 | −1.28* | −2.62 | −2.04 | −1.70 | −1.32 | −0.98 | 6.51 | 1.64 | |
| T3 | 1.08** | 2.60 | 0.86 | 1.44 | −0.72 | −0.59 | 12.01*** | 2.91 | |
| Event | Tier | [0, +1] | [−1, +1] | [−5, +5] | [−10, +30] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAAR | t | CAAR | t | CAAR | t | CAAR | t | ||
| E1 (Adoption) | T1 | −0.79 | −1.12 | −1.43* | −2.11 | −3.80** | −2.76 | −2.36 | −0.84 |
| T2 | 0.43 | 0.25 | −0.05 | −0.03 | 3.19 | 1.80 | 8.65 | 1.64 | |
| T3 | 0.18 | 0.28 | 0.24 | 0.33 | −0.12 | −0.11 | 4.12 | 1.56 | |
| E2 (OJ Publication) | T1 | 0.98 | 1.58 | 1.15 | 1.67 | 5.51*** | 4.00 | 10.19** | 2.85 |
| T2 | 0.38 | 0.53 | 1.44 | 0.85 | 2.31 | 0.71 | −0.52 | −0.06 | |
| T3 | 0.42 | 0.96 | 0.37 | 0.69 | 3.55*** | 3.21 | 6.19*** | 3.34 | |
| E3 (Delay Proposal) | T1 | 1.03*** | 4.02 | 0.77* | 1.80 | 2.25* | 2.10 | 12.09*** | 4.51 |
| T2 | −1.38* | −2.45 | −0.59 | −0.85 | 0.54 | 0.51 | 1.65 | 0.41 | |
| T3 | 0.71** | 2.10 | 0.13 | 0.33 | 2.85*** | 3.25 | 2.79* | 1.67 | |
| E4 (Council Adoption) | T1 | −0.12 | −0.17 | −2.89** | −2.36 | −2.23 | −1.43 | −2.18 | −0.68 |
| T2 | 1.29 | 1.68 | 0.70 | 1.12 | 2.09 | 1.49 | 3.40 | 0.99 | |
| T3 | −0.28 | −0.96 | −0.13 | −0.33 | 0.06 | 0.07 | −3.25* | −1.69 | |
| E5 (2nd Revision) | T1 | −0.66 | −0.94 | −0.62 | −0.90 | −8.72*** | −4.29 | −14.38*** | −4.52 |
| T2 | −0.05 | −0.06 | 0.31 | 0.55 | −3.19 | −1.32 | −3.11 | −0.71 | |
| T3 | 0.14 | 0.41 | 0.24 | 0.64 | −2.01** | −2.25 | 3.33 | 1.03 | |
| E6 (2nd Rev. OJ) | T1 | 0.79* | 1.88 | −0.48 | −0.73 | −1.48 | −1.19 | −11.79*** | −2.96 |
| T2 | −1.28* | −2.62 | −2.04 | −1.70 | −1.32 | −0.98 | 6.51 | 1.64 | |
| T3 | 1.08** | 2.60 | 0.86 | 1.44 | −0.72 | −0.59 | 12.01*** | 2.91 | |
Note(s): CAAR in percentage points. Market model estimated over [−252, −31] trading days. t-statistics from cross-sectional test. T1 = Tier 1 upstream producers (N = 17); T2 = Tier 2 processors (N = 5); T3 = Tier 3 reference firms (N = 53). *p < 0.10, **p < 0.05, ***p < 0.01
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