Table 3.

Causal loop diagram

SystemCausal loop diagram
Main systemR1: Energy transition trend (−) → ICE vehicle stock (−) → EV vehicle stock (−) → FCEV vehicle stock (−) → ICE vehicle stock
Subsystem 1 ICEB1: ICE vehicle stock (+) → CO2 emissions ICE (+) → environmental degradation (+) → emission policy pressure ICE (−) → ICE attractiveness (+) → ICE sales (+) → ICE vehicle stock (environment side)
B2: ICE vehicle stock (+) → fuel consumption (+) → operating cost of ICE (+) → relative cost of ICE (−) → ICE attractiveness (+) → ICE sales (+) → ICE vehicle stock (market and customer side)
Subsystem 2 EVR2: EV sales (+) → EV infrastructure (+) → charging availability (+) → EV convenience (+) → EV attractiveness (+) → EV sales (technology and infrastructure side)
B3: EV sales (+) → EV vehicle stock (−) → CO2 emission EV (+) → emission policy pressure EV (+) → policy support EV (+) → EV sales (+) → EV vehicle stock (regulation and policy side)
Subsystem 3 FCEVR3: FCEV vehicle stock (+) → hydrogen demand (+) → hydrogen production (+) → hydrogen refueling stations (+) → hydrogen convenience (+) → FCEV Attractiveness (+) → FCEV vehicle stock (technology and market side)
R4: FCEV vehicle stock (+) → user experience (+) → FCEV acceptance (+) → market potential FCEV (+) → FCEV attractiveness (+) → FCEV vehicle stock (customer and market side)
Source(s): Authors’ own work

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