Table 5.

Scenario analysis

No.ScenarioEffects
1ICE attractiveness decrease 10%–20% (fuel subsidy and fuel price)

  • Fuel consumption

  • CO2 Emission

  • ICE, EV and FCEV vehicle stock

2EV attractiveness increase 10%–30% (EV incentive)

  • EV infrastructure

  • Charging availability

  • ICE, EV and FCEV vehicle stock

3Emission policy pressure EV increase 10%–30% (CO2 Tax)

  • EV infrastructure

  • Charging availability

  • ICE, EV and FCEV vehicle stock

4FCEV attractiveness increase 10%–30% (FCEV incentive)

  • Hydrogen demand

  • Hydrogen refueling station

  • ICE, EV and FCEV vehicle stock

Source(s): Authors’ own work
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