Long-run effects on market stability and volatility spillovers
| Variables | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend | 0.0005 | −0.0013*** | −0.0007* |
| (1.507) | (−2.850) | (−1.706) | |
| Post | −0.0065*** | −0.0018 | −0.0218*** |
| (−4.315) | (−1.347) | (−2.945) | |
| Post × Trend | 0.0131*** | 0.0133*** | 0.0105*** |
| (7.077) | (8.421) | (6.990) | |
| VIX | 0.0007*** | 0.0005*** | |
| (4.338) | (3.686) | ||
| Post × VIX | 0.0012*** | ||
| (2.600) | |||
| Constant | 0.0128*** | 0.0036* | 0.0068*** |
| (17.458) | (1.672) | (4.427) | |
| Observations | 585 | 585 | 585 |
| Adjusted R2 | 0.540 | 0.647 | 0.694 |
| Variables | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend | 0.0005 | −0.0013*** | −0.0007* |
| (1.507) | (−2.850) | (−1.706) | |
| Post | −0.0065*** | −0.0018 | −0.0218*** |
| (−4.315) | (−1.347) | (−2.945) | |
| Post × Trend | 0.0131*** | 0.0133*** | 0.0105*** |
| (7.077) | (8.421) | (6.990) | |
| VIX | 0.0007*** | 0.0005*** | |
| (4.338) | (3.686) | ||
| Post × VIX | 0.0012*** | ||
| (2.600) | |||
| Constant | 0.0128*** | 0.0036* | 0.0068*** |
| (17.458) | (1.672) | (4.427) | |
| Observations | 585 | 585 | 585 |
| Adjusted | 0.540 | 0.647 | 0.694 |
Note(s): This table reports interrupted time-series (ITS) regression results for KOSPI 200 market volatility and volatility spillover effects. The dependent variable is GARCH Volatility, measured as the conditional volatility estimated from a GARCH(1,1) model using daily KOSPI 200 returns. Post is an indicator equal to one for trading days on or after the offshore listing event and zero otherwise. Trend and Post × Trend are scaled by 100 trading days. VIX captures global market volatility, and Post × VIX captures the change in VIX-related volatility spillovers after the offshore listing. Newey-West standard errors with five lags are used. t-statistics are reported in parentheses. ***, **, and * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively
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