Nested binary logit estimates for upper-tier list-price positioning (volume-weighted average price band > 2.5; n = 175); average marginal effects, with standard errors in parentheses
| Variable | Base | +Scale | +Portfolio | +Organic | +Diversification | +Human capital | +Region |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Company type (base = sole proprietorship) | |||||||
| Public limited company (PLC) / corporation (inc./corp.) | −0.009 (0.033) | 0.004 (0.038) | −0.024 (0.033) | −0.032 (0.029) | 0.007 (0.033) | −0.010 (0.030) | 0.052 (0.036) |
| limited liability company (LLC) | −0.007 (0.038) | −0.0005 (0.039) | −0.017 (0.044) | −0.0003 (0.043) | 0.008 (0.049) | 0.057 (0.059) | 0.073 (0.050) |
| Other | 0.123 (0.095) | 0.123 (0.095) | 0.035 (0.044) | −0.038 (0.050) | 0.028 (0.040) | 0.030 (0.049) | −0.032** (0.016) |
| Own-harvest share (base = 0%–25%) | |||||||
| 26%–50% | 0.096 (0.079) | 0.100 (0.071) | 0.097 (0.070) | 0.089 (0.084) | 0.067 (0.063) | 0.086 (0.082) | 0.058 (0.060) |
| 51%–75% | 0.123 (0.081) | 0.120 (0.084) | 0.136 (0.110) | 0.137 (0.101) | 0.094 (0.095) | 0.092 (0.097) | 0.119** (0.058) |
| 76%–100% | 0.043 (0.037) | 0.040 (0.036) | 0.048 (0.030) | 0.057** (0.029) | 0.059** (0.025) | 0.038* (0.020) | 0.062*** (0.024) |
| Years operating | 0.003*** (0.001) | 0.004*** (0.001) | 0.003*** (0.001) | 0.003 (0.001) | 0.002*** (0.0005) | 0.002*** (0.0005) | 0.001* (0.001) |
| Log production volume (hL) | −0.011 (0.009) | 0.045*** (0.016) | 0.042** (0.016) | 0.035*** (0.013) | 0.010 (0.009) | −0.004 (0.007) | |
| Breadth: # wine types | −0.092* (0.048) | −0.087* (0.047) | −0.068** (0.033) | −0.069* (0.036) | −0.059 (0.049) | ||
| Breadth: # grape types | −0.0005 (0.003) | 0.0001 (0.003) | 0.002 (0.003) | −0.002 (0.003) | −0.002 (0.002) | ||
| Breadth: # labels | −0.013*** (0.002) | −0.013*** (0.002) | −0.009*** (0.002) | −0.008*** (0.002) | 0.0000 (0.0004) | ||
| Organic / biodynamic certified | 0.119*** (0.023) | 0.098*** (0.038) | 0.098** (0.049) | 0.087** (0.037) | |||
| Consumer-facing diversification (base = none) | |||||||
| light (food / events) | −0.162*** (0.062) | −0.151*** (0.056) | −0.119** (0.048) | ||||
| heavy (hospitality) | −0.151** (0.076) | −0.131* (0.068) | −0.097** (0.049) | ||||
| B2B producer services | −0.006 (0.047) | −0.018 (0.038) | 0.032 (0.038) | ||||
| Permanent employees (avg) | 0.004**(0.002) | 0.0002 (0.002) | |||||
| Temporary employees (avg) | −0.001 (0.002) | −0.001 (0.001) | |||||
| Owner/CEO experience (years) | 0.005** (0.002) | 0.004* (0.002) | |||||
| Region (base = pacific northwest) | |||||||
| California | 0.308*** (0.056) | ||||||
| East/other | −0.222* (0.116) | ||||||
| Pseudo R2 | 0.043 | 0.044 | 0.236 | 0.250 | 0.294 | 0.330 | 0.517 |
| Log-likelihood | −86.41 | −86.28 | −68.96 | −67.69 | −63.71 | −60.44 | −43.63 |
| AIC | 188.83 | 190.56 | 161.92 | 161.38 | 159.43 | 158.88 | 129.27 |
| BIC | 214.15 | 219.04 | 199.89 | 202.52 | 210.06 | 219.01 | 195.73 |
| n | 175 | 175 | 175 | 175 | 175 | 175 | 175 |
| Variable | Base | +Scale | +Portfolio | +Organic | +Diversification | +Human capital | +Region |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public limited company ( | −0.009 (0.033) | 0.004 (0.038) | −0.024 (0.033) | −0.032 (0.029) | 0.007 (0.033) | −0.010 (0.030) | 0.052 (0.036) |
| limited liability company ( | −0.007 (0.038) | −0.0005 (0.039) | −0.017 (0.044) | −0.0003 (0.043) | 0.008 (0.049) | 0.057 (0.059) | 0.073 (0.050) |
| Other | 0.123 (0.095) | 0.123 (0.095) | 0.035 (0.044) | −0.038 (0.050) | 0.028 (0.040) | 0.030 (0.049) | −0.032 |
| 26%–50% | 0.096 (0.079) | 0.100 (0.071) | 0.097 (0.070) | 0.089 (0.084) | 0.067 (0.063) | 0.086 (0.082) | 0.058 (0.060) |
| 51%–75% | 0.123 (0.081) | 0.120 (0.084) | 0.136 (0.110) | 0.137 (0.101) | 0.094 (0.095) | 0.092 (0.097) | 0.119 |
| 76%–100% | 0.043 (0.037) | 0.040 (0.036) | 0.048 (0.030) | 0.057 | 0.059 | 0.038 | 0.062 |
| Years operating | 0.003 | 0.004 | 0.003 | 0.003 (0.001) | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Log production volume (hL) | −0.011 (0.009) | 0.045 | 0.042 | 0.035 | 0.010 (0.009) | −0.004 (0.007) | |
| Breadth: # wine types | −0.092 | −0.087 | −0.068 | −0.069 | −0.059 (0.049) | ||
| Breadth: # grape types | −0.0005 (0.003) | 0.0001 (0.003) | 0.002 (0.003) | −0.002 (0.003) | −0.002 (0.002) | ||
| Breadth: # labels | −0.013 | −0.013 | −0.009 | −0.008 | 0.0000 (0.0004) | ||
| Organic / biodynamic certified | 0.119 | 0.098 | 0.098 | 0.087 | |||
| light (food / events) | −0.162 | −0.151 | −0.119 | ||||
| heavy (hospitality) | −0.151 | −0.131 | −0.097 | ||||
| B2B producer services | −0.006 (0.047) | −0.018 (0.038) | 0.032 (0.038) | ||||
| Permanent employees (avg) | 0.004 | 0.0002 (0.002) | |||||
| Temporary employees (avg) | −0.001 (0.002) | −0.001 (0.001) | |||||
| Owner/CEO experience (years) | 0.005 | 0.004 | |||||
| California | 0.308 | ||||||
| East/other | −0.222 | ||||||
| 0.043 | 0.044 | 0.236 | 0.250 | 0.294 | 0.330 | 0.517 | |
| −86.41 | −86.28 | −68.96 | −67.69 | −63.71 | −60.44 | −43.63 | |
| 188.83 | 190.56 | 161.92 | 161.38 | 159.43 | 158.88 | 129.27 | |
| 214.15 | 219.04 | 199.89 | 202.52 | 210.06 | 219.01 | 195.73 | |
| 175 | 175 | 175 | 175 | 175 | 175 | 175 | |
Standard errors in parentheses, clustered by state (delta method, unconditional). Significance levels: ***p < 0.01; **p < 0.05; *p < 0.10. Average marginal effects for binary and categorical covariates are discrete changes from the reference category (factor-variable margins); those for continuous covariates are average derivatives. Because upper-tier wineries are almost absent in the East/Other group (quasi-separation), the East/Other coefficient is not consistently estimated and its average marginal effect should be interpreted with caution
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