TableĀ 2

Variable framework and modelling treatment

RoleDimensionIndicatorsTreatment
OutcomeExport performanceExports of goods and services (% of GDP)Dependent variable; described as export intensity
Core readinessDigital, energy, productive and financial capacityInternet use; mobile subscriptions; electricity access; manufacturing value added; industry employment; private-sector credit; inflationPrimary annual specification
Extended readinessTrade facilitation, transport, production cost and export capacityPower losses; tariffs; air freight; shipping connectivity; lead time; border and documentary time/cost; documents; REER; manufactured and high-technology exports; secure serversRobustness specification
Direct logisticsOperational logistics qualityCustoms; infrastructure; international shipments; logistics competence; tracking; timelinessSparse-year robustness specification
ControlsDevelopment, structure and geographyLog GDP per capita; log population; density; services; lagged FDI; resource rents; subregion; landlocked; islandNot interpreted as direct readiness levers
ExcludedOutcome-related aggregatesTrade (% of GDP); imports (% of GDP); current account balanceRemoved from the main specifications
Outcome robustnessAggregate value; extensive and intensive product marginsLog merchandise exports; exported HS-6 products; log exports per HS-6 productAlternative outcome analysis
Source(s): Computations from the study dataset (2026)

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