Average treatment effects on the treated (ATT): full sample, experience groups and sensitivity analyses
| Panel A. Core estimates (full IC sample /First-Time entrants/prior work experience) | Panel B. Sensitivity analyses | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | ATT 1 | ATT 2 | ATT 3 | ATT 4 | ATT 5 | ATT 6 |
| Average treatment effect on the treated | ||||||
| Avg. Contract duration | 106.72*** (20.97) | 136.38*** (40.60) | 102.80*** (24.59) | 80.32*** (27.20) | 68.87*** (22.45) | 65.83** (27.93) |
| Avg. Monthly Salary 2017 | 174.67*** (39.00) | 164.33** (73.06) | 174.46*** (45.50) | 164.18*** (49.52) | 141.61*** (38.71) | 154.69*** (50.26) |
| Avg. Monthly Salary 2018 | 189.86*** (46.12) | 153.85* (87.73) | 176.60*** (53.35) | 151.55** (59.38) | 177.39*** (46.41) | 184.27*** (60.99) |
| Avg. Monthly Salary 2019 | 194.74*** (47.82) | 166.51* (91.46) | 200.85*** (56.88) | 157.90** (62.12) | 185.80*** (47.89) | 197.14*** (63.06) |
| Probabilities | ||||||
| Permanent contract | 0.078*** (0.24) | 0.043 (0.447) | 0.077*** (0.269) | 0.104*** (0.29) | 0.068*** (0.229) | 0.069** (0.262) |
| Same employer | −0.086*** (0.17) | −0.136** (0.288) | −0.074*** (0.207) | −0.12*** (0.20) | −0.064** (0.167) | −0.029 (0.202) |
| Panel A. Core estimates (full | Panel B. Sensitivity analyses | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | ||||||
| Avg. Contract duration | 106.72 | 136.38 | 102.80 | 80.32 | 68.87 | 65.83 |
| Avg. Monthly Salary 2017 | 174.67 | 164.33 | 174.46 | 164.18 | 141.61 | 154.69 |
| Avg. Monthly Salary 2018 | 189.86 | 153.85 | 176.60 | 151.55 | 177.39 | 184.27 |
| Avg. Monthly Salary 2019 | 194.74 | 166.51 | 200.85 | 157.90 | 185.80 | 197.14 |
| Permanent contract | 0.078 | 0.043 (0.447) | 0.077 | 0.104 | 0.068 | 0.069 |
| Same employer | −0.086 | −0.136 | −0.074 | −0.12 | −0.064 | −0.029 (0.202) |
The coefficients presented in the “Probabilities” section represent marginal effects at the mean
1: The standard errors are in parentheses
2: Significance levels: ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.10
3: ATT 1–6 correspond to the following subgroups
– ATT 1: Full sample (baseline)
– ATT 2: No prior work experience
– ATT 3: Prior work experience
– ATT 4: University education only
– ATT 5: Minimum 6-month contract duration only
– ATT 6: University education and minimum 6-month contract duration
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