Table 4.

Fama (1984) model estimation results, three-month forward rate (SE in parentheses)

   α β
FX PeriodOLSDurbinFGLSOLSDurbinFGLS
US-UK11/1983–01/2023−0.00439 (0.004)−0.00035 (4.1E-04)0.00001 (3.3E-04)−0.98614 (0.218)0.64187 (0.382)0.29696 (0.278)
10/1989–04/2021−0.00011 (0.004)−0.00011 (0.001)0.00018 (0.001)0.34508 (0.238)1.25038 (0.474)1.15847 (0.332)
US-CA12/1984–01/2023−0.00036 (0.003)0.00004 (2.5E-04)0.00006 (2.1E-04)−0.21093 (0.218)0.51211 (0.343)0.31376 (0.261)
10/1989–04/2021−0.00040 (0.003)0.00002 (0.001)−0.00002 (0.001)0.19149 (0.252)0.55918 (0.399)0.31524 (0.301)
US-JP09/1993–01/2023−0.00355 (0.005)−0.00017 (0.001)−0.00015 (3.3E-04)−0.10423 (0.138)0.45446 (0.152)0.30124 (0.099)
09/1993–04/2021−0.00158 (0.005)−0.00003 (0.001)−0.00002 (0.001)−0.26883 (0.139)0.49440 (0.157)0.32649 (0.101)

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