Fama (1984) model estimation results, three-month forward rate (SE in parentheses)
| FX | Period | OLS | Durbin | FGLS | OLS | Durbin | FGLS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-UK | 11/1983–01/2023 | −0.00439 (0.004) | −0.00035 (4.1E-04) | 0.00001 (3.3E-04) | −0.98614 (0.218) | 0.64187 (0.382) | 0.29696 (0.278) |
| 10/1989–04/2021 | −0.00011 (0.004) | −0.00011 (0.001) | 0.00018 (0.001) | 0.34508 (0.238) | 1.25038 (0.474) | 1.15847 (0.332) | |
| US-CA | 12/1984–01/2023 | −0.00036 (0.003) | 0.00004 (2.5E-04) | 0.00006 (2.1E-04) | −0.21093 (0.218) | 0.51211 (0.343) | 0.31376 (0.261) |
| 10/1989–04/2021 | −0.00040 (0.003) | 0.00002 (0.001) | −0.00002 (0.001) | 0.19149 (0.252) | 0.55918 (0.399) | 0.31524 (0.301) | |
| US-JP | 09/1993–01/2023 | −0.00355 (0.005) | −0.00017 (0.001) | −0.00015 (3.3E-04) | −0.10423 (0.138) | 0.45446 (0.152) | 0.30124 (0.099) |
| 09/1993–04/2021 | −0.00158 (0.005) | −0.00003 (0.001) | −0.00002 (0.001) | −0.26883 (0.139) | 0.49440 (0.157) | 0.32649 (0.101) | |
| | | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FX | Period | ||||||
| US-UK | 11/1983–01/2023 | −0.00439 (0.004) | −0.00035 (4.1E-04) | 0.00001 (3.3E-04) | −0.98614 (0.218) | 0.64187 (0.382) | 0.29696 (0.278) |
| 10/1989–04/2021 | −0.00011 (0.004) | −0.00011 (0.001) | 0.00018 (0.001) | 0.34508 (0.238) | 1.25038 (0.474) | 1.15847 (0.332) | |
| US-CA | 12/1984–01/2023 | −0.00036 (0.003) | 0.00004 (2.5E-04) | 0.00006 (2.1E-04) | −0.21093 (0.218) | 0.51211 (0.343) | 0.31376 (0.261) |
| 10/1989–04/2021 | −0.00040 (0.003) | 0.00002 (0.001) | −0.00002 (0.001) | 0.19149 (0.252) | 0.55918 (0.399) | 0.31524 (0.301) | |
| US-JP | 09/1993–01/2023 | −0.00355 (0.005) | −0.00017 (0.001) | −0.00015 (3.3E-04) | −0.10423 (0.138) | 0.45446 (0.152) | 0.30124 (0.099) |
| 09/1993–04/2021 | −0.00158 (0.005) | −0.00003 (0.001) | −0.00002 (0.001) | −0.26883 (0.139) | 0.49440 (0.157) | 0.32649 (0.101) | |
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