Hansen and Hodrick (1980) one-month forward model estimation results (SE in parentheses)
| FX | OLS | GMM | GMM-GLS-IV | GLS-IV | OLS | GMM | GMM-GLS-IV | GLS-IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-UK | −0.000 (0.001) | 0.001 (0.002) | 0.000 (0.001) | 0.000 (0.001) | −0.087 (0.040) | 0.044 (3.875) | 1.436 (1.439) | 0.392 (0.278) |
| US-CAD | −0.000 (0.001) | 0.000 (0.001) | −0.000 (0.001) | −0.000 (0.001) | −0.035 (0.051) | 0.247 (1.012) | 0.040 (0.631) | 1.223 (0.959) |
| US-JP | 0.003 (0.002) | 0.004 (0.022) | 0.001 (0.001) | 0.007 (0.005) | 0.120 (0.054) | 0.024 (6.181) | −0.039 (0.598) | −0.534 (1.060) |
| US-UK | 0.143 (0.059) | 0.029 (1.650) | −0.442 (0.435) | −0.081 (0.135) | 0.016 (0.045) | 0.025 (0.599) | −0.112 (0.133) | −0.037 (0.039) |
| US-CAD | 0.012 (0.046) | −0.096 (0.280) | 0.053 (0.162) | −0.455 (0.358) | 0.031 (0.037) | 0.050 (0.074) | 0.023 (0.024) | 0.034 (0.031) |
| US-JP | −0.056 (0.063) | −0.042 (1.262) | −0.045 (0.092) | 0.050 (0.187) | 0.015 (0.058) | 0.013 (0.421) | −0.027 (0.044) | 0.028 (0.045) |
| | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FX | GMM-GLS-IV | GLS-IV | GMM-GLS-IV | GLS-IV | ||||
| US-UK | −0.000 (0.001) | 0.001 (0.002) | 0.000 (0.001) | 0.000 (0.001) | −0.087 (0.040) | 0.044 (3.875) | 1.436 (1.439) | 0.392 (0.278) |
| US-CAD | −0.000 (0.001) | 0.000 (0.001) | −0.000 (0.001) | −0.000 (0.001) | −0.035 (0.051) | 0.247 (1.012) | 0.040 (0.631) | 1.223 (0.959) |
| US-JP | 0.003 (0.002) | 0.004 (0.022) | 0.001 (0.001) | 0.007 (0.005) | 0.120 (0.054) | 0.024 (6.181) | −0.039 (0.598) | −0.534 (1.060) |
| US-UK | 0.143 (0.059) | 0.029 (1.650) | −0.442 (0.435) | −0.081 (0.135) | 0.016 (0.045) | 0.025 (0.599) | −0.112 (0.133) | −0.037 (0.039) |
| US-CAD | 0.012 (0.046) | −0.096 (0.280) | 0.053 (0.162) | −0.455 (0.358) | 0.031 (0.037) | 0.050 (0.074) | 0.023 (0.024) | 0.034 (0.031) |
| US-JP | −0.056 (0.063) | −0.042 (1.262) | −0.045 (0.092) | 0.050 (0.187) | 0.015 (0.058) | 0.013 (0.421) | −0.027 (0.044) | 0.028 (0.045) |
For US-UK, is the coefficient for US-CAD, and is the coefficient for US-JP; for US-CAD, is the coefficient for US-UK and is the coefficient for US-JP; for US-JP, is the coefficient for US-UK and is the coefficient for US-CAD
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