Table 7.

Results for the debt fiscal limit impact on the off-budget municipal activities

WC-RobustWC-Robust
OFF_ONlessgrantsOFFOFF_ONlessgrantsOFFOFF_ONlessgrantsOFFOFF_ONlessgrantsOFF
Coef.Coef.Coef.Coef.
Variable(Std. Err.)(Std. Err.)(Std. Err.)(Std. Err.)
L1.OFF_ONlessgrantsOFF−0.1136 (0.0335)***−0.1136 (0.1918)−0.1046 (0.0310)***−0.1046 (0.1861)
L2.OFF_ONlessgrantsOFF−0.0527 (0.0172)***−0.0527 (0.0420)−0.0614 (0.0155)***−0.0614 (0.0387)
L3.OF_ONlessgrantsOFF0.0107 (0.0159)0.0107 (0.0410)0.0045 (0.0155)0.0045 (0.0572)
ln_ON_pop−0.1306 (0.0094)***−0.1306 (0.0250)***−0.1188 (0.0097)***−0.1188 (0.0275)***
Grants−0.0057 (0.0177)−0.0057 (0.0223)0.0005 (0.0175)0.0005 (0.0234)
L1.Debt fiscal limit H10.0274 (0.0025)***0.0274 (0.0037)***0.0237 (0.0025)***0.0237 (0.0043)***
Debt_per capita H2−0.0018 (0.0008)**−0.0018 (0.0010)*  
MOC debt share H30.0808 (0.0148)***0.0808 (0.0243)***  
Growth0.0015 (0.0057)0.0015 (0.0231)−0.0034 (0.0056)−0.0034 (0.0227)
year2013−0.0024 (0.0010)**−0.0024 (0.0012)**−0.0006 (0.0011)−0.0006 (0.0014)
year2015−0.0225 (0.0020)***−0.0225 (0.0027)***−0.0205 (0.0020)***−0.0205 (0.0031)***
year20170.0107 (0.0018)***0.0107 (0.0048)**0.0082 (0.0019)***0.0082 (0.0054)
year20180.0145 (0.0027)***0.0145 (0.0071)**0.0111 (0.0028)***0.0111 (0.0079)
year0.0007 (0.0000)***0.0007 (0.0001)***0.0006 (0.0000)***0.0006 (0.0001)***
Number of observations3,4803,4803,4803,480
Number of groups719719719719
Number of instruments41414141
Wald test1683.27***1023.81***1897.66***1220.24***
Sargan test85.344285.344285.933185.9331
 0.00000.00000.00000.0000
Arellano–Bond test AR(1)−2.1216−1.5052−2.1316−1.5527
 0.03390.13230.03300.1205
AR(2)0.82940.19711.52690.3807
 0.40690.84380.12680.7034

Notes:

*p < 0.1; **p < 0.05; ***p < 0.01; Std. Err. in brackets

Source: Authors’ work

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