Table II Projected proportion of...

Table II

Projected proportion of untreated dental caries population by DMFT group

Outcomes	2010	2020	2030	2040	% change 2020–2040	% change to base-case
Base-case
Very low DMFT	0.63	0.62	0.61	0.61	−3.1	–
Low DMFT	0.91	0.90	0.89	0.89	−1.7	–
Moderate DMFT	0.92	0.91	0.91	0.90	−2.3	–
High DMFT	0.90	0.90	0.90	0.89	−1.0	–
Health Promotion Program
Very low DMFT	0.63	0.64	0.60	0.59	−5.1	−2.2
Low DMFT	0.91	0.90	0.90	0.89	−1.7	−0.04
Moderate DMFT	0.92	0.91	0.91	0.90	−2.6	−0.4
High DMFT	0.90	0.90	0.83	0.81	−10.1	−9.2
Dental personnel intake and affordability
Very low DMFT	0.63	0.62	0.61	0.61	−3.4	−0.3
Low DMFT	0.91	0.90	0.90	0.89	−1.8	−0.1
Moderate DMFT	0.92	0.91	0.91	0.90	−2.3	0
High DMFT	0.90	0.90	0.90	0.89	−1.0	−0.01
Combined scenario
Very low DMFT	0.63	0.62	0.59	0.57	−8.6	−5.7
Low DMFT	0.91	0.90	0.89	0.88	−3.0	−1.4
Moderate DMFT	0.92	0.92	0.91	0.90	−2.4	−0.2
High DMFT	0.90	0.90	0.84	0.84	−7.3	−6.4

Outcomes	2010	2020	2030	2040	% change 2020–2040	% change to base-case
Base-case
Very low DMFT	0.63	0.62	0.61	0.61	−3.1	–
Low DMFT	0.91	0.90	0.89	0.89	−1.7	–
Moderate DMFT	0.92	0.91	0.91	0.90	−2.3	–
High DMFT	0.90	0.90	0.90	0.89	−1.0	–
Health Promotion Program
Very low DMFT	0.63	0.64	0.60	0.59	−5.1	−2.2
Low DMFT	0.91	0.90	0.90	0.89	−1.7	−0.04
Moderate DMFT	0.92	0.91	0.91	0.90	−2.6	−0.4
High DMFT	0.90	0.90	0.83	0.81	−10.1	−9.2
Dental personnel intake and affordability
Very low DMFT	0.63	0.62	0.61	0.61	−3.4	−0.3
Low DMFT	0.91	0.90	0.90	0.89	−1.8	−0.1
Moderate DMFT	0.92	0.91	0.91	0.90	−2.3	0
High DMFT	0.90	0.90	0.90	0.89	−1.0	−0.01
Combined scenario
Very low DMFT	0.63	0.62	0.59	0.57	−8.6	−5.7
Low DMFT	0.91	0.90	0.89	0.88	−3.0	−1.4
Moderate DMFT	0.92	0.92	0.91	0.90	−2.4	−0.2
High DMFT	0.90	0.90	0.84	0.84	−7.3	−6.4

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