Table AI Model key parameters Parameter...

Table AI

Model key parameters

Parameter	Initial value		Sources
Population sector
Fraction female	0.51		Thailand Official Statistics Registration Systems, The Ministry of Interior
Total fertility rate	0.043–0.047		Census reports and data from national statistical offices
Age-specific mortality rate	0.0015–0.058		Bureau of Policy and Strategy, Ministry of Public Health
Net migration rate	0.00058		World bank
Dental caries sector	Age 15–34	Age 35 and older
Regular visit fraction very low DMFT [female]	0.229	0.148	National oral health survey data 2000; Bureau of Dental Health, Department of Health, Ministry of Public Health, Thailand
very low DMFT [male]	0.191	0.170
low DMFT [female]	0.306	0.357
low DMFT [male]	0.308	0.385
moderate DMFT [female]	0.521	0.643
moderate DMFT [male]	0.462	0.333
high DMFT [female]	0.571	0.332
high DMFT [male]	0.583	0.215
Treated to untreated transition rate very low DMFT	0.4	0.7	Expert’s estimation with optimization
low DMFT	0.78	0.58
moderate DMFT	0.78	0.34
high DMFT	0.7	0.75
^aVeryLowToLow transition rate	0.063 (0.0504–0.0756)		Model calibration
^aLowToModerate transition rate	0.066 (0.0528–0.0792)
^aModerateToHigh transition rate	0.063 (0.0504–0.0756)
Oral health behavior sector
Initial treatment rate	VL 0.384, L 0.066, M 0.041, H 0.075		National oral health survey data 2000; Ministry of Public Health, Thailand
Initial self-care adherence	0.53
Initial perceived need for care	VL 0.584, L 0.071, M 0.733, H 0.681
Dental personnel student Dental personnel	Data from 2000–2015		Report of dental personnel 2000–2015. Bureau of Dental Health, Department of Health, Ministry of Public health, Thailand The Dental Council of Thailand
Attrition rate	0.01
^aElasticity of perception of need	VL 0.8, L 0.05, M 0.4, H 0.8		Estimate by dental public health experts and model calibration
^aElasticity of affordability	0.1
^aElasticity of sugar consumption	0.6 (0.4–0.72)

Parameter	Initial value		Sources
Population sector
Fraction female	0.51		Thailand Official Statistics Registration Systems, The Ministry of Interior
Total fertility rate	0.043–0.047		Census reports and data from national statistical offices
Age-specific mortality rate	0.0015–0.058		Bureau of Policy and Strategy, Ministry of Public Health
Net migration rate	0.00058		World bank
Dental caries sector	Age 15–34	Age 35 and older
Regular visit fraction very low DMFT [female]	0.229	0.148	National oral health survey data 2000; Bureau of Dental Health, Department of Health, Ministry of Public Health, Thailand
very low DMFT [male]	0.191	0.170
low DMFT [female]	0.306	0.357
low DMFT [male]	0.308	0.385
moderate DMFT [female]	0.521	0.643
moderate DMFT [male]	0.462	0.333
high DMFT [female]	0.571	0.332
high DMFT [male]	0.583	0.215
Treated to untreated transition rate very low DMFT	0.4	0.7	Expert’s estimation with optimization
low DMFT	0.78	0.58
moderate DMFT	0.78	0.34
high DMFT	0.7	0.75
^aVeryLowToLow transition rate	0.063 (0.0504–0.0756)		Model calibration
^aLowToModerate transition rate	0.066 (0.0528–0.0792)
^aModerateToHigh transition rate	0.063 (0.0504–0.0756)
Oral health behavior sector
Initial treatment rate	VL 0.384, L 0.066, M 0.041, H 0.075		National oral health survey data 2000; Ministry of Public Health, Thailand
Initial self-care adherence	0.53
Initial perceived need for care	VL 0.584, L 0.071, M 0.733, H 0.681
Dental personnel student Dental personnel	Data from 2000–2015		Report of dental personnel 2000–2015. Bureau of Dental Health, Department of Health, Ministry of Public health, ThailandThe Dental Council of Thailand
Attrition rate	0.01
^aElasticity of perception of need	VL 0.8, L 0.05, M 0.4, H 0.8		Estimate by dental public health experts and model calibration
^aElasticity of affordability	0.1
^aElasticity of sugar consumption	0.6 (0.4–0.72)

Note: ^aRefer to parameters used for sensitivity analysis

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