ARDL statistical results
| Model 1: Digital financial inclusion | Model 2: Traditional financial inclusion | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Coefficient | Standard error | t – stat | Prob. | Coefficient | Standard error | t – stat | Prob. |
| Long run | ||||||||
| GDP | 0.0556 | 0.0126 | 4.41 | 0.001 | 0.1252 | 0.0656 | 1.91 | 0.089 |
| Energy intensity | 0.0169 | 0.1014 | 0.17 | 0.870 | 0.2794 | 0.0489 | 5.70 | 0.000 |
| Renewable energy | −0.2769 | 0.0095 | −29.09 | 0.000 | −0.2772 | 0.0260 | −10.63 | 0.000 |
| FDI | 0.0175 | 0.0084 | 2.08 | 0.060 | −0.0143 | 0.0044 | −3.19 | 0.011 |
| Manufacturing | −0.0066 | 0.0160 | −0.41 | 0.689 | −0.0153 | 0.0112 | −1.37 | 0.205 |
| Trade | −0.0031 | 0.0017 | −1.75 | 0.106 | −0.0042 | 0.0011 | −3.83 | 0.004 |
| DFI | −1.4766 | 0.3604 | −4.10 | 0.001 | – | – | – | – |
| TFI | – | – | – | – | 0.9162 | 0.2183 | 4.20 | 0.002 |
| Short run | ||||||||
| ∆GDP | 0.0281 | 0.0077 | 3.62 | 0.003 | 0.0259 | 0.0101 | 2.56 | 0.031 |
| ∆GDP (1) | 0.0103 | 0.0050 | 2.05 | 0.063 | – | – | – | – |
| ∆Energy intensity | 0.2119 | 0.0759 | 2.79 | 0.016 | 0.2267 | 0.1152 | 1.97 | 0.081 |
| ∆Energy intensity (1) | 0.0979 | 0.0577 | 1.70 | 0.115 | 0.2324 | 0.1015 | 2.29 | 0.048 |
| ∆Renewable energy | 0.1957 | 0.0464 | 4.22 | 0.001 | 0.0344 | 0.0349 | 0.99 | 0.349 |
| ∆Renewable energy (1) | 0.1115 | 0.0238 | 4.67 | 0.001 | 0.0360 | 0.0257 | 1.40 | 0.195 |
| ∆FDI | – | – | – | – | 0.0326 | 0.0108 | 3.01 | 0.015 |
| ∆Trade | −0.0022 | 0.0014 | −1.54 | 0.150 | 0.0076 | 0.0023 | 3.25 | 0.010 |
| ∆Trade (1) | – | – | – | – | 0.0035 | 0.0018 | 1.95 | 0.083 |
| ∆DFI | 1.0860 | 0.3083 | 3.52 | 0.004 | – | – | – | – |
| ∆TFI | – | – | – | – | 1.6686 | 0.8583 | 1.94 | 0.084 |
| ∆TFI (1) | – | –- | – | – | 0.6317 | 0.4953 | 1.28 | 0.234 |
| ECM (−1) | −0.7928 | 0.1717 | −4.62 | 0.001 | −0.3561 | 0.1734 | −2.05 | 0.070 |
| R2 = 0.998 | Adjusted R2 = 0.996 | R2 = 0.938 | Adjusted R2 = 0.814 | |||||
| DW statistic = 2.82 | Sum-squared residuals = 0.0073 | DW statistic = 2.76 | Sum-squared residuals = 0.0106 | |||||
| F-statistic = 463.59 | Prob.(F-statistic) = 0.000 | F-statistic = 236.20 | Prob.(F-statistic) = 0.000 | |||||
| Schwartz Bayesian criterion = −100.6734 | Akaike information criterion = −123.9174 | Schwartz Bayesian criterion = −83.10827 | Akaike information criterion = −109.0869 | |||||
| Model 1: Digital financial inclusion | Model 2: Traditional financial inclusion | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Coefficient | Standard error | Prob. | Coefficient | Standard error | Prob. | ||
| GDP | 0.0556 | 0.0126 | 4.41 | 0.001 | 0.1252 | 0.0656 | 1.91 | 0.089 |
| Energy intensity | 0.0169 | 0.1014 | 0.17 | 0.870 | 0.2794 | 0.0489 | 5.70 | 0.000 |
| Renewable energy | −0.2769 | 0.0095 | −29.09 | 0.000 | −0.2772 | 0.0260 | −10.63 | 0.000 |
| FDI | 0.0175 | 0.0084 | 2.08 | 0.060 | −0.0143 | 0.0044 | −3.19 | 0.011 |
| Manufacturing | −0.0066 | 0.0160 | −0.41 | 0.689 | −0.0153 | 0.0112 | −1.37 | 0.205 |
| Trade | −0.0031 | 0.0017 | −1.75 | 0.106 | −0.0042 | 0.0011 | −3.83 | 0.004 |
| DFI | −1.4766 | 0.3604 | −4.10 | 0.001 | – | – | – | – |
| TFI | – | – | – | – | 0.9162 | 0.2183 | 4.20 | 0.002 |
| ∆GDP | 0.0281 | 0.0077 | 3.62 | 0.003 | 0.0259 | 0.0101 | 2.56 | 0.031 |
| ∆GDP (1) | 0.0103 | 0.0050 | 2.05 | 0.063 | – | – | – | – |
| ∆Energy intensity | 0.2119 | 0.0759 | 2.79 | 0.016 | 0.2267 | 0.1152 | 1.97 | 0.081 |
| ∆Energy intensity (1) | 0.0979 | 0.0577 | 1.70 | 0.115 | 0.2324 | 0.1015 | 2.29 | 0.048 |
| ∆Renewable energy | 0.1957 | 0.0464 | 4.22 | 0.001 | 0.0344 | 0.0349 | 0.99 | 0.349 |
| ∆Renewable energy (1) | 0.1115 | 0.0238 | 4.67 | 0.001 | 0.0360 | 0.0257 | 1.40 | 0.195 |
| ∆FDI | – | – | – | – | 0.0326 | 0.0108 | 3.01 | 0.015 |
| ∆Trade | −0.0022 | 0.0014 | −1.54 | 0.150 | 0.0076 | 0.0023 | 3.25 | 0.010 |
| ∆Trade (1) | – | – | – | – | 0.0035 | 0.0018 | 1.95 | 0.083 |
| ∆DFI | 1.0860 | 0.3083 | 3.52 | 0.004 | – | – | – | – |
| ∆TFI | – | – | – | – | 1.6686 | 0.8583 | 1.94 | 0.084 |
| ∆TFI (1) | – | –- | – | – | 0.6317 | 0.4953 | 1.28 | 0.234 |
| ECM (−1) | −0.7928 | 0.1717 | −4.62 | 0.001 | −0.3561 | 0.1734 | −2.05 | 0.070 |
| Adjusted | Adjusted | |||||||
| DW statistic = 2.82 | Sum-squared residuals = 0.0073 | DW statistic = 2.76 | Sum-squared residuals = 0.0106 | |||||
| Prob.( | Prob.( | |||||||
| Schwartz Bayesian criterion = −100.6734 | Akaike information criterion = −123.9174 | Schwartz Bayesian criterion = −83.10827 | Akaike information criterion = −109.0869 | |||||
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