Short-run estimates
| Dependent variable = ΔlnSMD | Dependent = ΔlnFDI | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coefficients | t-statistics | Coefficients | t-statistics | |||
| Constant | 0.1193 * | 1.8919 | −0.0775 | −0.9107 | −0.0187 | −0.8447 |
| ΔlnFDIt-1 | −1.7086 *** | −3.0903 | −1.3441 ** | −2.7418 | ||
| ΔlnEXRt-1 | −0.5061 | −0.5746 | 0.5094 | 1.7123 | ||
| ΔlnINFt-1 | 0.5051 *** | 3.0762 | 0.1932 | 1.4311 | ||
| ΔlnINTt-1 | 0.1931 * | 1.9695 | 0.1632 * | 1.8739 | ||
| ΔlnBANKt-1 | 2.8513 ** | 2.1978 | ||||
| ECMt-1 | −0.1358 *** | −3.4679 | −0.1331 *** | −3.8953 | ||
| Diagnostic tests | ||||||
| R2 | 0.5627 | 0.5846 | 0.5172 | |||
| Adj. R2 | 0.3957 | 0.4289 | 0.4410 | |||
| χ2 LM | 3.6444 | p = 0.0563 | 6.9294 | p = 0.0085 | 0.0526 | p = 0.8186 |
| χ2 JB | 1.9311 | p = 0.3807 | 3.8961 | p = 0.1425 | 0.8272 | p = 0.6612 |
| χ2 BPG | 13.2844 | p = 0.0.2082 | 15.0011 | p = 0.1320 | 3.3872 | p = 0.4952 |
| Dependent variable = ΔlnSMD | Dependent = ΔlnFDI | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coefficients | Coefficients | |||||
| 0.1193 * | 1.8919 | −0.0775 | −0.9107 | −0.0187 | −0.8447 | |
| −1.7086 *** | −3.0903 | −1.3441 ** | −2.7418 | |||
| −0.5061 | −0.5746 | 0.5094 | 1.7123 | |||
| 0.5051 *** | 3.0762 | 0.1932 | 1.4311 | |||
| 0.1931 * | 1.9695 | 0.1632 * | 1.8739 | |||
| 2.8513 ** | 2.1978 | |||||
| −0.1358 *** | −3.4679 | −0.1331 *** | −3.8953 | |||
| 0.5627 | 0.5846 | 0.5172 | ||||
| 0.3957 | 0.4289 | 0.4410 | ||||
| 3.6444 | 6.9294 | 0.0526 | ||||
| 1.9311 | 3.8961 | 0.8272 | ||||
| 13.2844 | 15.0011 | 3.3872 | ||||
Note(s): JB, Jarque–Bera test of normality; LM, Lagrange Multiplier test for serial correlation; BPG, Breush–Pagan–Godfrey test for heteroscedasticity. *, ** and *** represent significant at 10, 5 and 1% levels, respectively
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