Impact of food price increase on poverty rate by rural–urban
| Food groups | Urban | Rural | Overall | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sim 1 | Sim 2 | Sim 3 | Sim 4 | Sim 1 | Sim 2 | Sim 3 | Sim 4 | Sim 1 | Sim 2 | Sim 3 | Sim 4 | |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (12) | (13) |
| Impact on poverty headcount ratio (P0) | ||||||||||||
| w1 | 0.241 | 0.414 | 0.591 | 0.812 | 0.429 | 0.927 | 1.349 | 1.774 | 0.348 | 0.706 | 1.023 | 1.360 |
| w2 | 0.014 | 0.017 | 0.025 | 0.036 | 0.025 | 0.044 | 0.065 | 0.088 | 0.020 | 0.032 | 0.048 | 0.066 |
| w3 | 0.014 | 0.025 | 0.038 | 0.056 | 0.030 | 0.047 | 0.072 | 0.093 | 0.023 | 0.038 | 0.058 | 0.077 |
| w4 | 0.180 | 0.275 | 0.369 | 0.437 | 0.185 | 0.372 | 0.567 | 0.787 | 0.183 | 0.330 | 0.482 | 0.636 |
| w5 | 0.075 | 0.166 | 0.201 | 0.166 | 0.075 | 0.121 | 0.171 | 0.121 | 0.075 | 0.140 | 0.184 | 0.140 |
| w6 | 0.009 | 0.014 | 0.014 | 0.017 | 0.004 | 0.014 | 0.022 | 0.025 | 0.007 | 0.014 | 0.019 | 0.022 |
| w7 | 0.075 | 0.157 | 0.201 | 0.224 | 0.056 | 0.099 | 0.140 | 0.185 | 0.065 | 0.124 | 0.166 | 0.201 |
| w8 | 0.194 | 0.290 | 0.389 | 0.465 | 0.213 | 0.451 | 0.718 | 0.944 | 0.205 | 0.382 | 0.576 | 0.737 |
| w9 | 0.056 | 0.139 | 0.175 | 0.197 | 0.072 | 0.121 | 0.171 | 0.209 | 0.065 | 0.128 | 0.173 | 0.204 |
| w10 | 0.121 | 0.194 | 0.236 | 0.304 | 0.099 | 0.181 | 0.249 | 0.356 | 0.108 | 0.186 | 0.243 | 0.334 |
| w11 | 0.063 | 0.148 | 0.194 | 0.208 | 0.095 | 0.162 | 0.228 | 0.317 | 0.081 | 0.156 | 0.213 | 0.270 |
| w12 | 0.075 | 0.166 | 0.201 | 0.236 | 0.101 | 0.194 | 0.295 | 0.401 | 0.090 | 0.182 | 0.255 | 0.330 |
| w13 | 0.036 | 0.081 | 0.139 | 0.169 | 0.056 | 0.099 | 0.138 | 0.179 | 0.047 | 0.091 | 0.138 | 0.174 |
| w14 | 0.417 | 0.814 | 1.194 | 1.569 | 0.417 | 0.860 | 1.224 | 1.607 | 0.417 | 0.840 | 1.211 | 1.591 |
| Impact on poverty gap index (P1) | ||||||||||||
| w1 | 0.078 | 0.156 | 0.234 | 0.313 | 0.039 | 0.078 | 0.118 | 0.157 | 0.107 | 0.214 | 0.323 | 0.432 |
| w2 | 0.003 | 0.007 | 0.009 | 0.012 | 0.001 | 0.003 | 0.004 | 0.005 | 0.005 | 0.010 | 0.014 | 0.018 |
| w3 | 0.004 | 0.008 | 0.011 | 0.015 | 0.002 | 0.004 | 0.006 | 0.007 | 0.005 | 0.011 | 0.016 | 0.020 |
| w4 | 0.037 | 0.073 | 0.107 | 0.140 | 0.022 | 0.044 | 0.065 | 0.084 | 0.048 | 0.094 | 0.139 | 0.182 |
| w5 | 0.013 | 0.026 | 0.038 | 0.049 | 0.010 | 0.019 | 0.028 | 0.036 | 0.016 | 0.031 | 0.045 | 0.058 |
| w6 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.004 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.001 | 0.003 | 0.004 | 0.005 |
| w7 | 0.011 | 0.022 | 0.033 | 0.043 | 0.010 | 0.019 | 0.028 | 0.037 | 0.012 | 0.024 | 0.036 | 0.048 |
| w8 | 0.043 | 0.085 | 0.125 | 0.163 | 0.024 | 0.047 | 0.070 | 0.091 | 0.058 | 0.114 | 0.167 | 0.219 |
| w9 | 0.012 | 0.024 | 0.034 | 0.044 | 0.008 | 0.015 | 0.021 | 0.027 | 0.016 | 0.030 | 0.044 | 0.057 |
| w10 | 0.019 | 0.038 | 0.055 | 0.072 | 0.013 | 0.026 | 0.038 | 0.050 | 0.024 | 0.047 | 0.068 | 0.088 |
| w11 | 0.016 | 0.031 | 0.045 | 0.059 | 0.009 | 0.017 | 0.025 | 0.032 | 0.021 | 0.042 | 0.061 | 0.078 |
| w12 | 0.019 | 0.038 | 0.056 | 0.073 | 0.010 | 0.020 | 0.029 | 0.038 | 0.027 | 0.052 | 0.076 | 0.099 |
| w13 | 0.009 | 0.018 | 0.027 | 0.035 | 0.005 | 0.010 | 0.015 | 0.020 | 0.012 | 0.024 | 0.036 | 0.046 |
| w14 | 0.091 | 0.182 | 0.271 | 0.358 | 0.079 | 0.158 | 0.238 | 0.317 | 0.101 | 0.200 | 0.296 | 0.389 |
| Impact on poverty severity index (P2) | ||||||||||||
| w1 | 0.024 | 0.048 | 0.073 | 0.098 | 0.012 | 0.023 | 0.035 | 0.047 | 0.033 | 0.067 | 0.102 | 0.137 |
| w2 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.004 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.004 | 0.005 |
| w3 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.004 | 0.005 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.005 | 0.006 |
| w4 | 0.011 | 0.022 | 0.033 | 0.043 | 0.007 | 0.013 | 0.019 | 0.025 | 0.015 | 0.029 | 0.043 | 0.057 |
| w5 | 0.004 | 0.008 | 0.012 | 0.015 | 0.003 | 0.006 | 0.008 | 0.011 | 0.005 | 0.010 | 0.014 | 0.018 |
| w6 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| w7 | 0.003 | 0.007 | 0.010 | 0.013 | 0.003 | 0.006 | 0.008 | 0.011 | 0.004 | 0.008 | 0.011 | 0.015 |
| w8 | 0.013 | 0.026 | 0.039 | 0.051 | 0.007 | 0.014 | 0.021 | 0.027 | 0.018 | 0.036 | 0.052 | 0.069 |
| w9 | 0.004 | 0.007 | 0.011 | 0.014 | 0.002 | 0.004 | 0.006 | 0.008 | 0.005 | 0.009 | 0.014 | 0.018 |
| w10 | 0.006 | 0.012 | 0.017 | 0.022 | 0.004 | 0.008 | 0.011 | 0.015 | 0.007 | 0.015 | 0.021 | 0.028 |
| w11 | 0.005 | 0.010 | 0.014 | 0.018 | 0.003 | 0.005 | 0.007 | 0.010 | 0.007 | 0.013 | 0.019 | 0.024 |
| w12 | 0.006 | 0.012 | 0.017 | 0.022 | 0.003 | 0.006 | 0.009 | 0.011 | 0.008 | 0.016 | 0.024 | 0.031 |
| w13 | 0.003 | 0.006 | 0.008 | 0.011 | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.005 | 0.006 | 0.004 | 0.008 | 0.011 | 0.014 |
| w14 | 0.028 | 0.056 | 0.084 | 0.111 | 0.023 | 0.047 | 0.071 | 0.096 | 0.031 | 0.063 | 0.093 | 0.123 |
| Food groups | Urban | Rural | Overall | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sim 1 | Sim 2 | Sim 3 | Sim 4 | Sim 1 | Sim 2 | Sim 3 | Sim 4 | Sim 1 | Sim 2 | Sim 3 | Sim 4 | |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | (11) | (12) | (13) |
| w1 | 0.241 | 0.414 | 0.591 | 0.812 | 0.429 | 0.927 | 1.349 | 1.774 | 0.348 | 0.706 | 1.023 | 1.360 |
| w2 | 0.014 | 0.017 | 0.025 | 0.036 | 0.025 | 0.044 | 0.065 | 0.088 | 0.020 | 0.032 | 0.048 | 0.066 |
| w3 | 0.014 | 0.025 | 0.038 | 0.056 | 0.030 | 0.047 | 0.072 | 0.093 | 0.023 | 0.038 | 0.058 | 0.077 |
| w4 | 0.180 | 0.275 | 0.369 | 0.437 | 0.185 | 0.372 | 0.567 | 0.787 | 0.183 | 0.330 | 0.482 | 0.636 |
| w5 | 0.075 | 0.166 | 0.201 | 0.166 | 0.075 | 0.121 | 0.171 | 0.121 | 0.075 | 0.140 | 0.184 | 0.140 |
| w6 | 0.009 | 0.014 | 0.014 | 0.017 | 0.004 | 0.014 | 0.022 | 0.025 | 0.007 | 0.014 | 0.019 | 0.022 |
| w7 | 0.075 | 0.157 | 0.201 | 0.224 | 0.056 | 0.099 | 0.140 | 0.185 | 0.065 | 0.124 | 0.166 | 0.201 |
| w8 | 0.194 | 0.290 | 0.389 | 0.465 | 0.213 | 0.451 | 0.718 | 0.944 | 0.205 | 0.382 | 0.576 | 0.737 |
| w9 | 0.056 | 0.139 | 0.175 | 0.197 | 0.072 | 0.121 | 0.171 | 0.209 | 0.065 | 0.128 | 0.173 | 0.204 |
| w10 | 0.121 | 0.194 | 0.236 | 0.304 | 0.099 | 0.181 | 0.249 | 0.356 | 0.108 | 0.186 | 0.243 | 0.334 |
| w11 | 0.063 | 0.148 | 0.194 | 0.208 | 0.095 | 0.162 | 0.228 | 0.317 | 0.081 | 0.156 | 0.213 | 0.270 |
| w12 | 0.075 | 0.166 | 0.201 | 0.236 | 0.101 | 0.194 | 0.295 | 0.401 | 0.090 | 0.182 | 0.255 | 0.330 |
| w13 | 0.036 | 0.081 | 0.139 | 0.169 | 0.056 | 0.099 | 0.138 | 0.179 | 0.047 | 0.091 | 0.138 | 0.174 |
| w14 | 0.417 | 0.814 | 1.194 | 1.569 | 0.417 | 0.860 | 1.224 | 1.607 | 0.417 | 0.840 | 1.211 | 1.591 |
| w1 | 0.078 | 0.156 | 0.234 | 0.313 | 0.039 | 0.078 | 0.118 | 0.157 | 0.107 | 0.214 | 0.323 | 0.432 |
| w2 | 0.003 | 0.007 | 0.009 | 0.012 | 0.001 | 0.003 | 0.004 | 0.005 | 0.005 | 0.010 | 0.014 | 0.018 |
| w3 | 0.004 | 0.008 | 0.011 | 0.015 | 0.002 | 0.004 | 0.006 | 0.007 | 0.005 | 0.011 | 0.016 | 0.020 |
| w4 | 0.037 | 0.073 | 0.107 | 0.140 | 0.022 | 0.044 | 0.065 | 0.084 | 0.048 | 0.094 | 0.139 | 0.182 |
| w5 | 0.013 | 0.026 | 0.038 | 0.049 | 0.010 | 0.019 | 0.028 | 0.036 | 0.016 | 0.031 | 0.045 | 0.058 |
| w6 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.004 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.001 | 0.003 | 0.004 | 0.005 |
| w7 | 0.011 | 0.022 | 0.033 | 0.043 | 0.010 | 0.019 | 0.028 | 0.037 | 0.012 | 0.024 | 0.036 | 0.048 |
| w8 | 0.043 | 0.085 | 0.125 | 0.163 | 0.024 | 0.047 | 0.070 | 0.091 | 0.058 | 0.114 | 0.167 | 0.219 |
| w9 | 0.012 | 0.024 | 0.034 | 0.044 | 0.008 | 0.015 | 0.021 | 0.027 | 0.016 | 0.030 | 0.044 | 0.057 |
| w10 | 0.019 | 0.038 | 0.055 | 0.072 | 0.013 | 0.026 | 0.038 | 0.050 | 0.024 | 0.047 | 0.068 | 0.088 |
| w11 | 0.016 | 0.031 | 0.045 | 0.059 | 0.009 | 0.017 | 0.025 | 0.032 | 0.021 | 0.042 | 0.061 | 0.078 |
| w12 | 0.019 | 0.038 | 0.056 | 0.073 | 0.010 | 0.020 | 0.029 | 0.038 | 0.027 | 0.052 | 0.076 | 0.099 |
| w13 | 0.009 | 0.018 | 0.027 | 0.035 | 0.005 | 0.010 | 0.015 | 0.020 | 0.012 | 0.024 | 0.036 | 0.046 |
| w14 | 0.091 | 0.182 | 0.271 | 0.358 | 0.079 | 0.158 | 0.238 | 0.317 | 0.101 | 0.200 | 0.296 | 0.389 |
| w1 | 0.024 | 0.048 | 0.073 | 0.098 | 0.012 | 0.023 | 0.035 | 0.047 | 0.033 | 0.067 | 0.102 | 0.137 |
| w2 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.004 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.004 | 0.005 |
| w3 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.004 | 0.005 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.005 | 0.006 |
| w4 | 0.011 | 0.022 | 0.033 | 0.043 | 0.007 | 0.013 | 0.019 | 0.025 | 0.015 | 0.029 | 0.043 | 0.057 |
| w5 | 0.004 | 0.008 | 0.012 | 0.015 | 0.003 | 0.006 | 0.008 | 0.011 | 0.005 | 0.010 | 0.014 | 0.018 |
| w6 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| w7 | 0.003 | 0.007 | 0.010 | 0.013 | 0.003 | 0.006 | 0.008 | 0.011 | 0.004 | 0.008 | 0.011 | 0.015 |
| w8 | 0.013 | 0.026 | 0.039 | 0.051 | 0.007 | 0.014 | 0.021 | 0.027 | 0.018 | 0.036 | 0.052 | 0.069 |
| w9 | 0.004 | 0.007 | 0.011 | 0.014 | 0.002 | 0.004 | 0.006 | 0.008 | 0.005 | 0.009 | 0.014 | 0.018 |
| w10 | 0.006 | 0.012 | 0.017 | 0.022 | 0.004 | 0.008 | 0.011 | 0.015 | 0.007 | 0.015 | 0.021 | 0.028 |
| w11 | 0.005 | 0.010 | 0.014 | 0.018 | 0.003 | 0.005 | 0.007 | 0.010 | 0.007 | 0.013 | 0.019 | 0.024 |
| w12 | 0.006 | 0.012 | 0.017 | 0.022 | 0.003 | 0.006 | 0.009 | 0.011 | 0.008 | 0.016 | 0.024 | 0.031 |
| w13 | 0.003 | 0.006 | 0.008 | 0.011 | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.005 | 0.006 | 0.004 | 0.008 | 0.011 | 0.014 |
| w14 | 0.028 | 0.056 | 0.084 | 0.111 | 0.023 | 0.047 | 0.071 | 0.096 | 0.031 | 0.063 | 0.093 | 0.123 |
Source(s): Author's calculation
Sharing content requires targeting cookies to be enabled. Please update your cookie preferences to use this feature.