Long-run ARDL estimates
| Variable | Coefficient | Standard error | T-statistic | Probability* |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMR(−1) | 0.396488 | 0.187354 | 2.116255 | 0.0504 |
| LOGIM | –314.7153 | 84.33904 | –3.73155 | 0.0018 |
| LOGLE | –46.16322 | 217.2996 | –0.21244 | 0.8344 |
| LOGLE(−1) | –571.8769 | 215.5066 | –2.65364 | 0.0173 |
| LOGLE(−2) | –472.5702 | 207.743 | –2.274782 | 0.037 |
| LOGLE(−3) | –351.4017 | 211.0457 | –1.66505 | 0.1154 |
| PGR | 78.86322 | 89.0233 | 0.885872 | 0.3888 |
| PGR(−1) | –231.109 | 154.979 | –1.491227 | 0.1554 |
| PGR(−2) | 181.0802 | 95.36627 | 1.898786 | 0.0758 |
| UNEMPR | 0.406509 | 2.259756 | 0.179891 | 0.8595 |
| C | 2973.247 | 772.9377 | 3.846684 | 0.0014 |
| R2 | 0.882664 | Mean dependent variable | 1.866296 | |
| Adjusted R2 | 0.809329 | SD dependent variable | 5.926552 | |
| SE of regression | 2.587884 | Akaike information criterion | 5.031125 | |
| Sum squared residual | 107.1543 | Schwarz criterion | 5.559058 | |
| Log likelihood | –56.92018 | Hannan–Quinn criterion | 5.188107 | |
| F-statistic | 12.03603 | Durbin–Watson statistic | 2.486614 | |
| Prob (F-statistic) | 0.000011 | |||
| Variable | Coefficient | Standard error | Probability* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMR(−1) | 0.396488 | 0.187354 | 2.116255 | 0.0504 |
| LOGIM | –314.7153 | 84.33904 | –3.73155 | 0.0018 |
| LOGLE | –46.16322 | 217.2996 | –0.21244 | 0.8344 |
| LOGLE(−1) | –571.8769 | 215.5066 | –2.65364 | 0.0173 |
| LOGLE(−2) | –472.5702 | 207.743 | –2.274782 | 0.037 |
| LOGLE(−3) | –351.4017 | 211.0457 | –1.66505 | 0.1154 |
| PGR | 78.86322 | 89.0233 | 0.885872 | 0.3888 |
| PGR(−1) | –231.109 | 154.979 | –1.491227 | 0.1554 |
| PGR(−2) | 181.0802 | 95.36627 | 1.898786 | 0.0758 |
| UNEMPR | 0.406509 | 2.259756 | 0.179891 | 0.8595 |
| C | 2973.247 | 772.9377 | 3.846684 | 0.0014 |
| 0.882664 | Mean dependent variable | 1.866296 | ||
| Adjusted | 0.809329 | SD dependent variable | 5.926552 | |
| SE of regression | 2.587884 | Akaike information criterion | 5.031125 | |
| Sum squared residual | 107.1543 | Schwarz criterion | 5.559058 | |
| Log likelihood | –56.92018 | Hannan–Quinn criterion | 5.188107 | |
| 12.03603 | Durbin–Watson statistic | 2.486614 | ||
| Prob ( | 0.000011 | |||
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