Table 1

Examples of the most common prediction tools in civil engineering

ToolPredictionReferenceWeakness
Regression analysisConcrete cost estimationTam and Fang (1999) Inappropriate when describing non-linear relationships, consisting of multiple inputs and multiple outputs (Tam and Fang, 1999)
Material quantity estimationGarcía de Soto et al. (2014) 
Building cost estimationKim et al. (2004) 
Neural networksRoad accidentsGarcía de Soto et al. (2018) Lose their effectiveness when the patterns are very complicated or noisy, the problem representation and problem structuring are ill defined and training may be trapped in local minima; long computational time (Hegazy et al., 1994); model needs to be retrained when new information is available (Hong et al., 2002)
Cost estimation of projectsHegazy and Ayed (1998), Kim et al. (2004) 
Pipe failure predictionKerwin et al. (2019) 
Structural health monitoringNeves et al. (2017) 
Case-based reasoningBuilding cost estimationGarcía de Soto and Adey (2015, 2016), Kim et al. (2004) Limitations to reflect suitable search criteria to index and match depending on previous experience without validating them in a new situation
Building designGarcía de Soto et al. (2020) 
Bayesian networksOccurrence of road accidentsDeublein et al. (2015, 2013) Difficulty in developing a Bayesian network with both discrete and continuous variables (Deublein et al., 2013). Current Bayesian network applications handle mostly discrete variables (Hu and Mahadevan, 2018). A vast amount of data may be needed for the learning of the network (Delgado-Hernández et al., 2014)
Project cost risk analysisKhodakarami and Abdi (2014) 
Bridge condition modellingRafiq et al. (2015) 
Risk assessmentDelgado-Hernández et al. (2014) 
Quantifying schedule riskLuu et al. (2009) 

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