Examples of the most common prediction tools in civil engineering
| Tool | Prediction | Reference | Weakness |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regression analysis | Concrete cost estimation | Tam and Fang (1999) | Inappropriate when describing non-linear relationships, consisting of multiple inputs and multiple outputs (Tam and Fang, 1999) |
| Material quantity estimation | García de Soto et al. (2014) | ||
| Building cost estimation | Kim et al. (2004) | ||
| Neural networks | Road accidents | García de Soto et al. (2018) | Lose their effectiveness when the patterns are very complicated or noisy, the problem representation and problem structuring are ill defined and training may be trapped in local minima; long computational time (Hegazy et al., 1994); model needs to be retrained when new information is available (Hong et al., 2002) |
| Cost estimation of projects | Hegazy and Ayed (1998), Kim et al. (2004) | ||
| Pipe failure prediction | Kerwin et al. (2019) | ||
| Structural health monitoring | Neves et al. (2017) | ||
| Case-based reasoning | Building cost estimation | García de Soto and Adey (2015, 2016), Kim et al. (2004) | Limitations to reflect suitable search criteria to index and match depending on previous experience without validating them in a new situation |
| Building design | García de Soto et al. (2020) | ||
| Bayesian networks | Occurrence of road accidents | Deublein et al. (2015, 2013) | Difficulty in developing a Bayesian network with both discrete and continuous variables (Deublein et al., 2013). Current Bayesian network applications handle mostly discrete variables (Hu and Mahadevan, 2018). A vast amount of data may be needed for the learning of the network (Delgado-Hernández et al., 2014) |
| Project cost risk analysis | Khodakarami and Abdi (2014) | ||
| Bridge condition modelling | Rafiq et al. (2015) | ||
| Risk assessment | Delgado-Hernández et al. (2014) | ||
| Quantifying schedule risk | Luu et al. (2009) |
| Tool | Prediction | Reference | Weakness |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regression analysis | Concrete cost estimation | Inappropriate when describing non-linear relationships, consisting of multiple inputs and multiple outputs ( | |
| Material quantity estimation | |||
| Building cost estimation | |||
| Neural networks | Road accidents | Lose their effectiveness when the patterns are very complicated or noisy, the problem representation and problem structuring are ill defined and training may be trapped in local minima; long computational time ( | |
| Cost estimation of projects | |||
| Pipe failure prediction | |||
| Structural health monitoring | |||
| Case-based reasoning | Building cost estimation | Limitations to reflect suitable search criteria to index and match depending on previous experience without validating them in a new situation | |
| Building design | |||
| Bayesian networks | Occurrence of road accidents | Difficulty in developing a Bayesian network with both discrete and continuous variables ( | |
| Project cost risk analysis | |||
| Bridge condition modelling | |||
| Risk assessment | |||
| Quantifying schedule risk |
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