Probit and logit regression results of EPU impact on debt (Debt FF1) and cash (Cash FF1) flexibility before and during COVID-19
| Probit Modelling | Logit Modelling | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | |
| Variable | Pre-Covid | During Covid | Pre-Covid | During Covid | Pre-Covid | During Covid | Pre-Covid | During Covid |
| FF1 | FF1 | Cash FF1 | Cash FF1 | FF1 | FF1 | Cash FF1 | Cash FF1 | |
| EPU | 0.00898* | 0.00405 | −0.00741* | 0.0181*** | 0.0173* | 0.00692 | −0.0121* | 0.0314*** |
| (0.04) | (0.17) | (0.04) | (0.00) | (0.03) | (0.17) | (0.05) | (0.00) | |
| Firm Size | 0.349*** | 0.139 | 0.788*** | 0.838*** | 0.629*** | 0.229 | 1.342*** | 1.416*** |
| (0.00) | (0.12) | (0.00) | (0.00) | (0.00) | (0.13) | (0.00) | (0.00) | |
| MTB | −0.0470 | −0.0358 | −0.00312 | −0.0244 | −0.0819 | −0.0598 | −0.00656 | −0.0402 |
| (0.07) | (0.10) | (0.65) | (0.26) | (0.08) | (0.13) | (0.56) | (0.27) | |
| Maturity | −0.341* | −0.570** | 0.146 | 0.236 | −0.631* | −0.945** | 0.269 | 0.416 |
| (0.02) | (0.01) | (0.26) | (0.33) | (0.02) | (0.01) | (0.22) | (0.31) | |
| Tangibility | 0.280 | −0.177 | 0.0877 | −0.529 | 0.523 | −0.307 | 0.0757 | −0.919 |
| (0.21) | (0.49) | (0.62) | (0.06) | (0.21) | (0.49) | (0.80) | (0.06) | |
| NDTS | 14.10 | 23.12 | 23.19** | 29.68* | 26.67 | 37.22 | 39.88** | 49.38* |
| (0.19) | (0.06) | (0.01) | (0.02) | (0.18) | (0.07) | (0.01) | (0.02) | |
| E.Sales | 0.216 | 0.0396 | −0.0385 | 0.0242 | 0.436 | 0.0676 | −0.0910 | 0.0295 |
| (0.44) | (0.36) | (0.86) | (0.60) | (0.40) | (0.35) | (0.80) | (0.71) | |
| NWC.TA | 0.754 | −0.342 | 0.890* | 0.171 | 1.179 | −0.643 | 1.476* | 0.356 |
| (0.15) | (0.55) | (0.05) | (0.77) | (0.22) | (0.51) | (0.05) | (0.72) | |
| RE.TE | 0.0545* | 0.0488 | −0.00328 | 0.0466 | 0.0961* | 0.0807 | −0.00460 | 0.0768 |
| (0.04) | (0.15) | (0.84) | (0.16) | (0.04) | (0.15) | (0.86) | (0.18) | |
| Firm Age | 0.00125 | −0.00136 | 0.00368 | 0.00166 | 0.00210 | −0.00220 | 0.00876* | 0.00271 |
| (0.53) | (0.57) | (0.08) | (0.56) | (0.55) | (0.59) | (0.03) | (0.58) | |
| Constant | −4.442*** | −1.564* | −5.541*** | −8.173*** | −7.980*** | −2.577* | −9.537*** | −13.88*** |
| (0.00) | (0.03) | (0.00) | (0.00) | (0.00) | (0.03) | (0.00) | (0.00) | |
| N | 663 | 351 | 663 | 351 | 663 | 351 | 663 | 351 |
| Pseudo R2 | 0.0611 | 0.0501 | 0.1806 | 0.2728 | 0.0599 | 0.0497 | 0.1821 | 0.2726 |
| Wald χ2 | 32.85 | 20.23 | 163.5 | 126.5 | 32.23 | 20.06 | 164.9 | 126.4 |
| p | 0.000289 | 0.0271 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.000367 | 0.0287 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |
| Probit Modelling | Logit Modelling | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | |
| Variable | Pre-Covid | During Covid | Pre-Covid | During Covid | Pre-Covid | During Covid | Pre-Covid | During Covid |
| FF1 | FF1 | Cash FF1 | Cash FF1 | FF1 | FF1 | Cash FF1 | Cash FF1 | |
| EPU | 0.00898* | 0.00405 | −0.00741* | 0.0181*** | 0.0173* | 0.00692 | −0.0121* | 0.0314*** |
| (0.04) | (0.17) | (0.04) | (0.00) | (0.03) | (0.17) | (0.05) | (0.00) | |
| Firm Size | 0.349*** | 0.139 | 0.788*** | 0.838*** | 0.629*** | 0.229 | 1.342*** | 1.416*** |
| (0.00) | (0.12) | (0.00) | (0.00) | (0.00) | (0.13) | (0.00) | (0.00) | |
| MTB | −0.0470 | −0.0358 | −0.00312 | −0.0244 | −0.0819 | −0.0598 | −0.00656 | −0.0402 |
| (0.07) | (0.10) | (0.65) | (0.26) | (0.08) | (0.13) | (0.56) | (0.27) | |
| Maturity | −0.341* | −0.570** | 0.146 | 0.236 | −0.631* | −0.945** | 0.269 | 0.416 |
| (0.02) | (0.01) | (0.26) | (0.33) | (0.02) | (0.01) | (0.22) | (0.31) | |
| Tangibility | 0.280 | −0.177 | 0.0877 | −0.529 | 0.523 | −0.307 | 0.0757 | −0.919 |
| (0.21) | (0.49) | (0.62) | (0.06) | (0.21) | (0.49) | (0.80) | (0.06) | |
| NDTS | 14.10 | 23.12 | 23.19** | 29.68* | 26.67 | 37.22 | 39.88** | 49.38* |
| (0.19) | (0.06) | (0.01) | (0.02) | (0.18) | (0.07) | (0.01) | (0.02) | |
| E.Sales | 0.216 | 0.0396 | −0.0385 | 0.0242 | 0.436 | 0.0676 | −0.0910 | 0.0295 |
| (0.44) | (0.36) | (0.86) | (0.60) | (0.40) | (0.35) | (0.80) | (0.71) | |
| NWC.TA | 0.754 | −0.342 | 0.890* | 0.171 | 1.179 | −0.643 | 1.476* | 0.356 |
| (0.15) | (0.55) | (0.05) | (0.77) | (0.22) | (0.51) | (0.05) | (0.72) | |
| RE.TE | 0.0545* | 0.0488 | −0.00328 | 0.0466 | 0.0961* | 0.0807 | −0.00460 | 0.0768 |
| (0.04) | (0.15) | (0.84) | (0.16) | (0.04) | (0.15) | (0.86) | (0.18) | |
| Firm Age | 0.00125 | −0.00136 | 0.00368 | 0.00166 | 0.00210 | −0.00220 | 0.00876* | 0.00271 |
| (0.53) | (0.57) | (0.08) | (0.56) | (0.55) | (0.59) | (0.03) | (0.58) | |
| Constant | −4.442*** | −1.564* | −5.541*** | −8.173*** | −7.980*** | −2.577* | −9.537*** | −13.88*** |
| (0.00) | (0.03) | (0.00) | (0.00) | (0.00) | (0.03) | (0.00) | (0.00) | |
| 663 | 351 | 663 | 351 | 663 | 351 | 663 | 351 | |
| Pseudo | 0.0611 | 0.0501 | 0.1806 | 0.2728 | 0.0599 | 0.0497 | 0.1821 | 0.2726 |
| Wald | 32.85 | 20.23 | 163.5 | 126.5 | 32.23 | 20.06 | 164.9 | 126.4 |
| 0.000289 | 0.0271 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.000367 | 0.0287 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | |
Note(s): p-values in parentheses * p < 0.05, **p < 0.01, ***p < 0.001. Refer Appendix 1 for variable definition
Source(s): Authors' own work
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