Table IV.

Logit estimates of the probability that a non-poor household experiences ES

Estimation 1Estimation 2
Exp(B)EXP(B)Exp(B)95% C.I.for EXP(B)
LowerUpperLowerUpper
COUNT1.0151.0141.0161.0161.0151.017
VARCOUNT1.3621.3601.3631.4221.4201.425
CHILDREN1.0791.0781.0791.0731.0721.073
VARCHILDREN1.1751.1741.1771.2551.2531.257
MEANAGEH0.9990.9990.9990.9990.9990.999
DPMEANAGEH1.0101.0101.0101.0091.0091.010
SEXPP (ref.categ.:man)      
Woman1.2231.2211.2241.1631.1621.165
EDUCAPP0.8250.8250.8260.8260.8250.826
BADHEALTHH1.4811.4791.4831.4831.4811.485
DWELLING (ref.categ.: owned without mortgage)      
Owned with mortgage2.1762.1732.1802.0962.0922.101
Rented at market price1.4881.4841.4911.3021.2971.307
Rented at less than market price1.1571.1521.1621.2721.2651.279
Lent free of charge0.8220.8200.8240.8960.8920.899
IG0.4460.4460.4470.6600.6580.662
VARINCOME0.8190.8190.8200.8230.8220.823
INCOTHERH1.5101.5081.5131.5171.5151.520
UNEMPLH1.2491.2461.2531.2321.2291.236
VARUNEMPLH1.6231.6211.6251.6141.6121.616
EMPLH0.6320.6300.6340.6330.6310.634
VAREMPLH1.0741.0721.0751.0041.0021.005
RETIREDH0.8790.8770.8810.8760.8740.878
Interactions      
VAREMPLH*SEXPP (woman)   1.2241.2211.227
VARCHILDREN*IG (2,3,4)   0.8720.8700.874
VARCOUNT*IG (2,3,4)   0.8990.8970.901
DWELLING (owned) *IG (1)   1.5161.5101.521
DWELLING (owned+mortgage) *IG (1)   1.6311.6241.637
DWELLING (rented m.p.) *IG (1)   1.8101.8001.820
DWELLING (other) *IG (1)   1.3471.3401.354
REGION OF RESIDENCE (ref.categ.: Canary Islands)      
Galicia1.1471.1431.1511.1261.1221.130
Asturias0.6340.6310.6370.6290.6260.631
Cantabria1.0531.0471.0591.0341.0281.040
Basque Country0.9270.9230.9300.9240.9210.927
Navarra0.7020.6980.7050.6960.6920.699
La Rioja0.9270.9210.9330.9110.9050.917
Aragon0.8590.8550.8620.8510.8480.855
Madrid1.7621.7571.7681.7491.7431.755
Castilla y Leon0.8490.8460.8520.8360.8330.839
Castilla-La Mancha0.7140.7110.7170.7030.7010.706
Extremadura0.8380.8340.8420.8220.8180.826
Catalonia1.5841.5791.5891.5651.5601.570
Valencian Region1.1831.1791.1871.1691.1651.173
Balearic Islands1.3881.3821.3951.3711.3651.377
Andalusia1.2741.2701.2781.2641.2601.268
Murcia1.1251.1201.1301.0981.0931.103
Ceuta1.4221.3991.4461.3861.3631.408
Melilla0.9510.9380.9640.9240.9110.937
ECVL (ref.categ: ECVL-2011)      
ECVL-20120.9960.9940.9980.9980.9961.000
ECVL-20131.1841.1811.1861.1881.1851.190
ECVL-20141.3721.3691.3741.3761.3741.379
ECVL-20151.4181.4151.4201.4251.4221.428
ECVL-20161.4601.4581.4631.4711.4681.473
Constant2.799  1.296  
N  10,284  10,284
% initial cases correctly classified  54  54
Initial-2 log likelihood  90,923,056  90,923,056
−2 log likelihood model  79,939,991  79,819,735
MCFadden Pseudo R2  0.12  0.12
% cases correctly classified  67  67
HD = 0  59  59
HD = 1  74  74
in % cases correctly classified  12.80  12.90

Note:

Overall period ECVL 2011-ECVL 2016

Source: ECVL microdata (INE) and own elaboration

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