Table 5.

Long-run estimates

ARDL (4, 2, 4, 1, 2, 3, 4) selected based on AIC dependent variable = BD
VariableCoefficientSEt-statisticProbability value
BSt1.2630.2624.8200.000***
BEFt–1.3600.331–4.1030.000***
BRAt–0.0070.234–0.0310.976
BMt0.7410.0759.8290.000***
GDPt–0.3010.109–2.7520.009***
INFt0.0860.0422.0460.048**
Constant2.4985.9270.4210.676

Notes:

*** and ** denote significance at the 1 and 5% levels, respectively

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