Variation in the degree of stability of political governance in partner countries, the EU’s threat perception and the EU’s logics of action
| Level of threat perception | ||
|---|---|---|
| Local political dynamics | High security threat | Low security threat |
| Instable and uncertain context | LoC Perspective clarity on the short-term security goals to temper the radicalization e.g. Libya | LoA ← → LoC Institutionalization of sequential ordering logics of action, so that different phases follow different logics and the basis of actions changes over time in a predictable and pre-emptive way e.g. Egypt before Morsi’s ascent to power |
| Degree of commitment to open democratic process | LoA ← → LoC Institutionalization of chronological ordering logics of action, so that different phases follow different logics and the bases of actions change over time in a predictable and pre-emptive way e.g. Egypt under Morsi’s reign till his ousting from office | LoA The positive momentum of local actor, gives the EU clear behavioral guidance and make it more likely that the LoA will dominate e.g. Tunisia |
| Level of threat perception | ||
|---|---|---|
| Local political dynamics | High security threat | Low security threat |
| Instable and uncertain context | LoC | LoA ← → LoC |
| Degree of commitment to open democratic process | LoA ← → LoC | LoA |
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