Monte Carlo simulation probability of kill sensitivity analysis
| Model parameter | Variable | −30% | −20% | −10% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M795 Projectiles Required | Infantry platoon | 30 | 34 | 39 | 43 | 47 | 52 | 56 |
| Command post | 55 | 62 | 70 | 78 | 86 | 94 | 101 | |
| Radar | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
| Probability of kill | 69.29 | 65.34 | 60.31 | 55.14 | 51.54 | 46.86 | 43.78 | |
| M549 projectiles required | Infantry platoon | 18 | 20 | 23 | 25 | 28 | 30 | 33 |
| Command post | 38 | 43 | 49 | 54 | 59 | 65 | 70 | |
| Radar | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| Probability of kill | 78.34 | 75.84 | 72.76 | 69.75 | 67.57 | 64.17 | 62.45 | |
| Excalibur projectiles required | Infantry platoon | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Command post | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | |
| Radar | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| Probability of kill | 97.63 | 97.31 | 97 | 96.6 | 96.3 | 95.65 | 95.33 |
| Model parameter | Variable | −30% | −20% | −10% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M795 | Infantry platoon | 30 | 34 | 39 | 43 | 47 | 52 | 56 |
| Command post | 55 | 62 | 70 | 78 | 86 | 94 | 101 | |
| Radar | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
| Probability of kill | 69.29 | 65.34 | 60.31 | 55.14 | 51.54 | 46.86 | 43.78 | |
| M549 | Infantry platoon | 18 | 20 | 23 | 25 | 28 | 30 | 33 |
| Command post | 38 | 43 | 49 | 54 | 59 | 65 | 70 | |
| Radar | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| Probability of kill | 78.34 | 75.84 | 72.76 | 69.75 | 67.57 | 64.17 | 62.45 | |
| Excalibur | Infantry platoon | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Command post | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | |
| Radar | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| Probability of kill | 97.63 | 97.31 | 97 | 96.6 | 96.3 | 95.65 | 95.33 |
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