Robustness check-effect of time until completion on stock performance using size of target to proxy for information asymmetry
| (1) | (2) | (3) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR/BHAR | Three months | One year | Two years |
| Whole sample | |||
| Time until completion | 0.002819** | 0.000319 | 0.002588 |
| Time until completion squared | −0.000019* | 0.000006 | 0.000004 |
| Control variables and fixed effect | Y | Y | Y |
| Optimum time until completion (days) | 73 | −26 | −302 |
| U-test (p-value) | 0.06 | – | – |
| U-test-implication | Weak inverse U | Monotone/U | Monotone/U |
| Observations | 1,933 | 1,927 | 1,905 |
| R2 | 0.113 | 0.075 | 0.074 |
| Number of firms | 1,234 | 1,229 | 1,210 |
| Opaque targets | |||
| Time until completion | 0.005487*** | 0.008525** | 0.009314 |
| Time until completion squared | −0.000045*** | −0.000075*** | −0.000084 |
| Control variables and fixed effect | Y | Y | Y |
| Optimum time until completion (days) | 61 | 57 | 55 |
| U-test (p-value) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| U-test-implication | Strong inverse U | Strong inverse U | Monotone/U |
| Observations | 541 | 540 | 538 |
| R2 | 0.096 | 0.145 | 0.104 |
| Number of firms | 379 | 378 | 376 |
| Transparent targets | |||
| Time until completion | −0.008052 | −0.013653 | −0.000808 |
| Time until completion squared | 0.000211* | 0.000285 | 0.000044 |
| Control variables and fixed effect | Y | Y | Y |
| Optimum time until completion (days) | 19 | 24 | 9 |
| U-test (p-value) | 0.13 | 0.25 | 0.49 |
| U-test-implication | Monotone/U | Monotone/U | Monotone/U |
| Observations | 788 | 784 | 770 |
| R2 | 0.176 | 0.080 | 0.108 |
| Number of firms | 611 | 607 | 594 |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Three months | One year | Two years | |
| Time until completion | 0.002819 | 0.000319 | 0.002588 |
| Time until completion squared | −0.000019 | 0.000006 | 0.000004 |
| Control variables and fixed effect | Y | Y | Y |
| Optimum time until completion (days) | 73 | −26 | −302 |
| U-test ( | 0.06 | – | – |
| U-test-implication | Weak inverse U | Monotone/U | Monotone/U |
| Observations | 1,933 | 1,927 | 1,905 |
| 0.113 | 0.075 | 0.074 | |
| Number of firms | 1,234 | 1,229 | 1,210 |
| Time until completion | 0.005487 | 0.008525 | 0.009314 |
| Time until completion squared | −0.000045 | −0.000075 | −0.000084 |
| Control variables and fixed effect | Y | Y | Y |
| Optimum time until completion (days) | 61 | 57 | 55 |
| U-test ( | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| U-test-implication | Strong inverse U | Strong inverse U | Monotone/U |
| Observations | 541 | 540 | 538 |
| 0.096 | 0.145 | 0.104 | |
| Number of firms | 379 | 378 | 376 |
| Time until completion | −0.008052 | −0.013653 | −0.000808 |
| Time until completion squared | 0.000211 | 0.000285 | 0.000044 |
| Control variables and fixed effect | Y | Y | Y |
| Optimum time until completion (days) | 19 | 24 | 9 |
| U-test ( | 0.13 | 0.25 | 0.49 |
| U-test-implication | Monotone/U | Monotone/U | Monotone/U |
| Observations | 788 | 784 | 770 |
| 0.176 | 0.080 | 0.108 | |
| Number of firms | 611 | 607 | 594 |
Notes:
Regressing our performance measure (CAR/BHAR) on time until deal completion and its squared term for different periods post-merger, the table is a combined test of the due diligence hypothesis and the overdue hypothesis. To test the role played by information asymmetry of the target, the sample is partitioned into opaque and transparent targets using the size of the target as a proxy for information asymmetry. Control variables include the national- and firm-level and deal-specific variables as explained in the appendix. Firm fixed effect is included in all models and the optimum time until deal completion and the results of the stringent test of quadratic relation, following Lind and Mehlum (2010) are also reported. Standard errors are corrected for heteroscedasticity and clustered at the firm level.
***p < 0.01,
**p < 0.05
*p < 0.1
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