Table VII.

Candidate models for predicting the likelihood of a contract experiencing an ECP

Model no.VariableEstimatep-value
1Intercept−8.41<0.0001
 Ln (Baseline cost): natural logarithm of the contract baseline cost0.50<0.0001
2Intercept−1.52<0.0001
 Contract size large1.440.0001
 Contract size small−2.960.0041

Note:

All values rounded to two significant digits

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