Results from conventional tests
| Constant | Constant and trend | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Country | ADF | p | PP | KPSS | ADF | p | PP | KPSS |
| Greece | −1.475 | 12 | −1.621 | 2.005*** | −2.643 | 12 | −2.647 | 0.383*** |
| Ireland | −2.936** | 3 | −2.704*** | 0.177 | −3.026 | 3 | −2.782 | 0.112 |
| Italy | −2.065 | 11 | −2.174 | 1.515*** | −2.490 | 11 | −2.422 | 0.139* |
| Portugal | −1.635 | 10 | −1.551 | 2.159*** | −2.150 | 10 | −2.097 | 0.271*** |
| Spain | −2.500 | 7 | −2.531 | 2.069*** | −3.271* | 9 | −2.766 | 0.202** |
| Constant | Constant and trend | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Country | ADF | PP | KPSS | ADF | PP | KPSS | ||
| Greece | −1.475 | 12 | −1.621 | 2.005 | −2.643 | 12 | −2.647 | 0.383 |
| Ireland | −2.936 | 3 | −2.704 | 0.177 | −3.026 | 3 | −2.782 | 0.112 |
| Italy | −2.065 | 11 | −2.174 | 1.515 | −2.490 | 11 | −2.422 | 0.139 |
| Portugal | −1.635 | 10 | −1.551 | 2.159 | −2.150 | 10 | −2.097 | 0.271 |
| Spain | −2.500 | 7 | −2.531 | 2.069 | −3.271 | 9 | −2.766 | 0.202 |
Notes:
The optimal lag(s), p, for ADF test were determined by the t-stat significance of the last lagged dependent variable at the 10% significance level by setting the maximum number of lags to 12. Bartlett kernel spectral estimation method with Newey–West automatic bandwidth was used for PP, and KPSS tests. The critical values for ADF, and PP test are −3.44 (1%), −2.86 (5%) and −2.56 (10%) for model with constant; and −3.97 (1%), −3.41 (5%) and −3.13 (10%) for model with constant and trend. The critical values for KPSS test are 0.73 (1%), 0.46 (5%) and 0.34 (10%) for model with constant; and 0.21 (1%), 0.14 (5%) and 0.11 (1%) for model with constant and trend.
(1%),
(5%) and
(10%)