Table 6.

Results from unit root test with smooth breaks

Level shiftLevel and trend shift
CountryADF(k*)pk*Ftrigp-val.ADF(k*)pk*Ftrigp-val.
Greece−3.596*1217.329***0.000−3.6101214.826***0.008
Ireland−3.392**333.165**0.042−3.646*333.644**0.026
Italy−2.4031122.3110.100−3.2471123.714**0.024
Portugal−3.591*1015.443***0.004−3.5251014.431**0.012
Spain−2.809920.8000.449−3.524*933.391*0.092

Notes:

The optimal lag(s), p, were determined by the t-stat significance of the last lagged dependent variable at the 10% significance level by setting the maximum number of lags to 12. The optimal Fourier frequency k* was selected by minimizing the sum of squared residuals from OLS estimation with k ∈ [1,…,5]. Ftrig is the usual F-statistic for testing the null hypothesis of the absence of trigonometric terms (i.e. δ1=δ2 = 0) in equation (8) for the model with level shift and equation (9) for the model with level and trend shift by using k = k*. The critical values for Fourier ADF, ADF(k*), test are available in Enders and Lee (2012).

***

(1%),

**

(5%) and

*

(10%)

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