Table 8.

Results from non-linear unit root test with smooth breaks

Level shiftLevel and trend shift
CountryFtNLpk*Ftrigp-valFtNLpk*Ftrigp-val
Greece−5.499***1211276.455***0.000−5.489***121559.260***0.000
Ireland−6.554***32172.107***0.000−7.062***33211.677***0.000
Italy−1.971113188.410***0.000−3.602*113152.142***0.000
Portugal−4.635***101846.623***0.000−4.440***101254.281***0.000
Spain−2.34991119.951***0.000−3.364***93107.982***0.000

Notes:

The optimal lag(s), p, were determined by the t-stat significance of the last lagged dependent variable at the 10% significance level by setting the maximum number of lags to 12. The optimal Fourier frequency k* was selected by minimizing the sum of squared residuals from OLS estimation with k∈[1,…,5]. Ftrig is the usual F-statistic for testing the null hypothesis of the absence of trigonometric terms (i.e., δ1=δ2=0) in equation (14) for the model with level shift and in equation (15) for the model with level and trend shift by using k = k*. The critical values for FtNL test are available for the level shift model in Christopoulos and León-Ledesma (2010). We simulate the critical values for the level and trend shift model based on Monte Carlo simulations as defined in Christopoulos and León-Ledesma (2010, p. 1082).

***

(1%),

**

(5%) and

*

(10%)

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