Results from non-linear unit root test with smooth breaks
| Level shift | Level and trend shift | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Country | FtNL | p | k* | Ftrig | p-val | FtNL | p | k* | Ftrig | p-val |
| Greece | −5.499*** | 12 | 1 | 1276.455*** | 0.000 | −5.489*** | 12 | 1 | 559.260*** | 0.000 |
| Ireland | −6.554*** | 3 | 2 | 172.107*** | 0.000 | −7.062*** | 3 | 3 | 211.677*** | 0.000 |
| Italy | −1.971 | 11 | 3 | 188.410*** | 0.000 | −3.602* | 11 | 3 | 152.142*** | 0.000 |
| Portugal | −4.635*** | 10 | 1 | 846.623*** | 0.000 | −4.440*** | 10 | 1 | 254.281*** | 0.000 |
| Spain | −2.349 | 9 | 1 | 119.951*** | 0.000 | −3.364*** | 9 | 3 | 107.982*** | 0.000 |
| Level shift | Level and trend shift | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Country | F | p-val | F | |||||||
| Greece | −5.499 | 12 | 1 | 1276.455 | 0.000 | −5.489 | 12 | 1 | 559.260 | 0.000 |
| Ireland | −6.554 | 3 | 2 | 172.107 | 0.000 | −7.062 | 3 | 3 | 211.677 | 0.000 |
| Italy | −1.971 | 11 | 3 | 188.410 | 0.000 | −3.602 | 11 | 3 | 152.142 | 0.000 |
| Portugal | −4.635 | 10 | 1 | 846.623 | 0.000 | −4.440 | 10 | 1 | 254.281 | 0.000 |
| Spain | −2.349 | 9 | 1 | 119.951 | 0.000 | −3.364 | 9 | 3 | 107.982 | 0.000 |
Notes:
The optimal lag(s), p, were determined by the t-stat significance of the last lagged dependent variable at the 10% significance level by setting the maximum number of lags to 12. The optimal Fourier frequency k* was selected by minimizing the sum of squared residuals from OLS estimation with k∈[1,…,5]. Ftrig is the usual F-statistic for testing the null hypothesis of the absence of trigonometric terms (i.e., δ1=δ2=0) in equation (14) for the model with level shift and in equation (15) for the model with level and trend shift by using k = k*. The critical values for FtNL test are available for the level shift model in Christopoulos and León-Ledesma (2010). We simulate the critical values for the level and trend shift model based on Monte Carlo simulations as defined in Christopoulos and León-Ledesma (2010, p. 1082).
(1%),
(5%) and
(10%)