Table 10

Channel test one: turnover types

(1)(2)
ΔlnSALEt0.986*** (73.158)0.987*** (73.495)
ΔlnSALEt×Dt−0.101*** (−4.196)−0.103*** (−4.310)
ΔlnSALEt×TURNOVERt−0.016* (−1.631)−0.010 (−1.309)
ΔlnSALEt×Dt×TURNOVERt−0.016*** (−3.304)−0.034** (−1.982)
ΔlnSALEt×TURNOVERt×EXTERNALt0.011 (1.030) 
ΔlnSALEt×Dt×TURNOVERt×EXTERNALt−0.025*** (−3.163) 
ΔlnSALEt×TURNOVERt×UNEXPECTEDt 0.004 (1.505)
ΔlnSALEt×Dt×TURNOVERt×UNEXPECTEDt −0.021*** (−3.023)
ControlYesYes
Year fixed effectYesYes
Firm fixed effectYesYes
Observations20,39220,392
Adjusted R20.7540.777

Note(s): This table presents the results of comparing the effect of the change of government officials according to different types of turnover. Column (1) reports the estimation by distinguishing official turnover into the external appointment and local promotion. Column (2) reports the estimation by distinguishing official turnover into expected and unexpected. The subscript t denotes the time index, while prefecture-city and firm indices are omitted for brevity. The dependent variable is ΔlnXOPR, the log-change in operating costs. ΔlnSALE is the log-change in sales. D is a dummy variable that takes the value of one if sales decrease, and zero otherwise. EXTERNAL is a dummy variable that takes the value of one if an official is appointed from another city by a higher level of government, and zero otherwise. UNEXPECTED is a dummy variable that takes the value of one if an official severs the position for less than five years, and zero otherwise. All variables are defined in the Table A1. Regressions control for both firm and year fixed effects. Robust t-statistics reported in parentheses are based on standard errors clustered by firm. In this table, *, **, and *** denote statistical significance at the 10, 5, and 1% levels, respectively

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