Table 7

Controlling for profitability shocks and percentage change in the estimated intrinsic value

Variable(1)(2)Variable(3)
IVOL (λ1)1.8839** (2.77)4.0718** (4.66)IVOL (λ1)−0.9180 (−1.78)
IVOL * LnP/V(t):Q2 (λ2) −2.7312** (−6.02)IVOL * LnP/V(t + 1):Q2 (λ2)0.8882* (2.40)
IVOL * LnP/V(t):Q3 (λ3) −3.3453** (−5.93)IVOL * LnP/V(t + 1):Q3 (λ3)1.3149* (2.66)
IVOL * LnP/V(t):Q4 (λ4) −3.8323** (−6.33)IVOL * LnP/V(t + 1):Q4 (λ4)3.3996** (4.38)
IVOL * LnP/V(t):Q5 (λ5) −5.4185** (−8.35)IVOL * LnP/V(t + 1):Q5 (λ5)12.0283** (9.48)
ProfitabilityShock1.5800** (4.16)1.5210** (4.23)ProfitabilityShock1.5355** (3.84)
PctChgV0.1147** (13.24)0.1430** (13.92)PctChgV0.2148** (16.88)
N177,682177,682N177,682
R20.18960.1982R20.4043
LnP/V(t):QiNoYesLnP/V(t + 1):QiYes
ControlsYesYesControlsYes
Industry FEYesYesIndustry FEYes

Note(s): This table presents results of the analysis that controls for profitability shocks and percentage change in the estimated intrinsic value of equity from 06/30 of t to 06/30 of t + 1. ProfitabilityShock is the difference between profitability of t + 1 and the expected profitability of t + 1 obtained using the method introduced in Hou and van Dijk (2019). PctChgV is the percentage change in the estimated intrinsic value of equity from 06/30 of t to 06/30 of t + 1. The dependent variable (Rtt+1) is stock return over 07/01 of t to 06/30 of t + 1, t = 1966 to 2015. IVOL is the idiosyncratic volatility measure, defined in  Appendix 2. LnP/V(t)  is the difference between the natural logarithm of the market value of equity on 06/30 of t and the natural logarithm of the estimated intrinsic value of equity obtained using the latest accounting information available by 06/30 of t, t = 1966 to 2015 (see  Appendix 1). LnP/V(t):Qi is an indicator variable that equals 1 if LnP/V(t) is in the i-th quintile (0 otherwise), i = 1 to 5. T-statistics in parentheses are adjusted for Newey-West autocorrelations of three lags. **, *, and † denote statistical significance at the 1, 5, and 10% levels, respectively, using a 2-tailed test

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