Controlling for profitability shocks and percentage change in the estimated intrinsic value
| Variable | (1) | (2) | Variable | (3) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IVOL (λ1) | 1.8839** (2.77) | 4.0718** (4.66) | IVOL (λ1) | −0.9180† (−1.78) |
| IVOL * LnP/V(t):Q2 (λ2) | −2.7312** (−6.02) | IVOL * LnP/V(t + 1):Q2 (λ2) | 0.8882* (2.40) | |
| IVOL * LnP/V(t):Q3 (λ3) | −3.3453** (−5.93) | IVOL * LnP/V(t + 1):Q3 (λ3) | 1.3149* (2.66) | |
| IVOL * LnP/V(t):Q4 (λ4) | −3.8323** (−6.33) | IVOL * LnP/V(t + 1):Q4 (λ4) | 3.3996** (4.38) | |
| IVOL * LnP/V(t):Q5 (λ5) | −5.4185** (−8.35) | IVOL * LnP/V(t + 1):Q5 (λ5) | 12.0283** (9.48) | |
| ProfitabilityShock | 1.5800** (4.16) | 1.5210** (4.23) | ProfitabilityShock | 1.5355** (3.84) |
| PctChgV | 0.1147** (13.24) | 0.1430** (13.92) | PctChgV | 0.2148** (16.88) |
| N | 177,682 | 177,682 | N | 177,682 |
| R2 | 0.1896 | 0.1982 | R2 | 0.4043 |
| LnP/V(t):Qi | No | Yes | LnP/V(t + 1):Qi | Yes |
| Controls | Yes | Yes | Controls | Yes |
| Industry FE | Yes | Yes | Industry FE | Yes |
| Variable | (1) | (2) | Variable | (3) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8839** (2.77) | 4.0718** (4.66) | −0.9180† (−1.78) | ||
| −2.7312** (−6.02) | 0.8882* (2.40) | |||
| −3.3453** (−5.93) | 1.3149* (2.66) | |||
| −3.8323** (−6.33) | 3.3996** (4.38) | |||
| −5.4185** (−8.35) | 12.0283** (9.48) | |||
| 1.5800** (4.16) | 1.5210** (4.23) | 1.5355** (3.84) | ||
| 0.1147** (13.24) | 0.1430** (13.92) | 0.2148** (16.88) | ||
| 177,682 | 177,682 | 177,682 | ||
| 0.1896 | 0.1982 | 0.4043 | ||
| No | Yes | Yes | ||
| Controls | Yes | Yes | Controls | Yes |
| Industry FE | Yes | Yes | Industry FE | Yes |
Note(s): This table presents results of the analysis that controls for profitability shocks and percentage change in the estimated intrinsic value of equity from 06/30 of t to 06/30 of t + 1. ProfitabilityShock is the difference between profitability of t + 1 and the expected profitability of t + 1 obtained using the method introduced in Hou and van Dijk (2019). PctChgV is the percentage change in the estimated intrinsic value of equity from 06/30 of t to 06/30 of t + 1. The dependent variable () is stock return over 07/01 of t to 06/30 of t + 1, t = 1966 to 2015. is the idiosyncratic volatility measure, defined in Appendix 2. is the difference between the natural logarithm of the market value of equity on 06/30 of t and the natural logarithm of the estimated intrinsic value of equity obtained using the latest accounting information available by 06/30 of t, t = 1966 to 2015 (see Appendix 1). is an indicator variable that equals 1 if is in the i-th quintile (0 otherwise), i = 1 to 5. T-statistics in parentheses are adjusted for Newey-West autocorrelations of three lags. **, *, and † denote statistical significance at the 1, 5, and 10% levels, respectively, using a 2-tailed test
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