Table A1

Validity of LnP/V as the overvaluation likelihood measure

VariableLnP/V:Q1LnP/V:Q2LnP/V:Q3LnP/V:Q4LnP/V:Q5Q5 - Q1
NMeanNMeanNMeanNMeanNMeanDifft
Rt49,244−10.52%49,2444.51%49,24412.16%49,24421.35%49,24439.67%50.19%120.00
Rt + 146,25931.15%46,25918.91%46,25913.90%46,2599.58%46,2594.58%−26.57%−42.24
Shortt46,3910.43%46,3920.75%46,3921.12%46,3921.49%46,3921.82%1.38%78.37
% (Shortt > 0)46,39124.63%46,39238.25%46,39248.36%46,39255.07%46,39252.01%27.38%89.39
NetStkIssuet + 146,3844.32%46,3853.06%46,3853.62%46,3854.55%46,3857.18%2.86%25.09
% (NetStkIssuet + 1 > 0)46,38452.38%46,38559.08%46,38564.67%46,38569.12%46,38576.75%24.37%80.23
SalesByACQt + 143,6050.91%43,6061.33%43,6061.58%43,6061.98%43,6062.60%1.69%33.87
% (SalesByACQt + 1 > 0)46,3844.26%46,3856.67%46,3858.11%46,3859.99%46,38512.65%8.39%45.05
%(SalesByACQt + 1 > 0.2)43,6051.86%43,6062.69%43,6063.18%43,6064.05%43,6065.38%3.52%27.91

Note(s): This table presents comparisons between different LnP/V groups along dimensions that prior studies find vary with equity overvaluation. LnP/V is the difference between the natural logarithm of the market value of equity at the end of fiscal year t and the natural logarithm of the estimated intrinsic value of equity obtained using accounting information from financial statements of fiscal year t; LnP/V(t):Qi indicates the i-th quintile of LnP/V(t), i = 1 to 5; Rt (Rt + 1) is stock return over the 12-month period of fiscal year t (t + 1); Shortt is the percentage of outstanding common shares shorted at the fiscal year-end of t; NetStkIssuet + 1 is change in the natural logarithm of split-adjusted shares outstanding from fiscal year t to fiscal year t + 1; and SalesByACQt + 1 is the percentage of sales arising from acquisitions in t + 1

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