Difference-in-differences analysis using the 2001 decimalization
| Panel A: Pre-match propensity score regression and post-match diagnostic regression | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Pre-match | Post-match | ||
| Coeff. | t-stat | Coeff. | t-stat | |
| RETt | 0.723** | 8.65 | 0.066 | 0.60 |
| MCt−1 | 0.094** | 3.17 | 0.039 | 1.08 |
| B/Mt−1 | −0.015 | −0.25 | 0.046 | 0.60 |
| MOMt−1 | 0.386** | 3.67 | 0.118 | 0.87 |
| D_NSt−1 | −0.008 | −0.03 | −0.297 | −0.85 |
| NSt−1 | −0.579** | −2.85 | −0.032 | −0.12 |
| dA/At−1 | −0.062 | −0.37 | −0.065 | −0.28 |
| D_Y/Bt−1 | −0.524** | −3.87 | 0.075 | 0.43 |
| Y/B(+)t−1 | 0.543 | 0.66 | −0.077 | −0.07 |
| ACCt−1 | −0.367 | −1.26 | 0.230 | 0.57 |
| LIQ_HLt−1 | −1.496** | −13.11 | 0.031 | 0.19 |
| ACCt−1 × LIQ_HLt−1 | −0.570 | −1.45 | −0.011 | −0.02 |
| Industry fixed effects | Yes | Yes | ||
| N | 1,231 | 612 | ||
| p-value of χ2 | < 0.001 | 1.000 | ||
| Pseudo R2 | 0.279 | 0.019 | ||
| Panel A: Pre-match propensity score regression and post-match diagnostic regression | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Pre-match | Post-match | ||
| Coeff. | Coeff. | |||
| 0.723** | 8.65 | 0.066 | 0.60 | |
| 0.094** | 3.17 | 0.039 | 1.08 | |
| −0.015 | −0.25 | 0.046 | 0.60 | |
| 0.386** | 3.67 | 0.118 | 0.87 | |
| −0.008 | −0.03 | −0.297 | −0.85 | |
| −0.579** | −2.85 | −0.032 | −0.12 | |
| −0.062 | −0.37 | −0.065 | −0.28 | |
| −0.524** | −3.87 | 0.075 | 0.43 | |
| 0.543 | 0.66 | −0.077 | −0.07 | |
| −0.367 | −1.26 | 0.230 | 0.57 | |
| −1.496** | −13.11 | 0.031 | 0.19 | |
| −0.570 | −1.45 | −0.011 | −0.02 | |
| Industry fixed effects | Yes | Yes | ||
| 1,231 | 612 | |||
| < 0.001 | 1.000 | |||
| Pseudo | 0.279 | 0.019 | ||
| Panel B: Statistical distributions of estimated propensity scores | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | Mean | SD | Min | P5 | P25 | P50 | P75 | P95 | Max | |
| Treatment | 306 | 0.487 | 0.200 | 0.022 | 0.154 | 0.354 | 0.477 | 0.609 | 0.860 | 0.967 |
| Control | 306 | 0.496 | 0.206 | 0.020 | 0.154 | 0.353 | 0.490 | 0.612 | 0.856 | 0.997 |
| Difference | −0.009 | −0.006 | 0.002 | 0.000 | 0.000 | −0.013 | −0.002 | 0.004 | −0.030 | |
| Panel B: Statistical distributions of estimated propensity scores | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | Mean | SD | Min | P5 | P25 | P50 | P75 | P95 | Max | |
| Treatment | 306 | 0.487 | 0.200 | 0.022 | 0.154 | 0.354 | 0.477 | 0.609 | 0.860 | 0.967 |
| Control | 306 | 0.496 | 0.206 | 0.020 | 0.154 | 0.353 | 0.490 | 0.612 | 0.856 | 0.997 |
| Difference | −0.009 | −0.006 | 0.002 | 0.000 | 0.000 | −0.013 | −0.002 | 0.004 | −0.030 | |
| Panel C: Differences in post-match characteristics | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Control | Treatment | Difference | t-stat |
| RETt | 0.083 | 0.122 | −0.039 | −0.91 |
| MCt−1 | 5.927 | 6.137 | −0.210 | −1.24 |
| B/Mt−1 | −0.636 | −0.616 | −0.020 | −0.26 |
| MOMt−1 | −0.038 | 0.005 | −0.042 | −1.22 |
| D_NSt−1 | 0.029 | 0.020 | 0.010 | 0.78 |
| NSt−1 | 0.067 | 0.058 | 0.009 | 0.47 |
| dA/At−1 | 0.125 | 0.114 | 0.010 | 0.44 |
| D_Y/Bt−1 | 0.245 | 0.225 | 0.020 | 0.57 |
| Y/B(+)t−1 | 0.063 | 0.065 | −0.001 | −0.28 |
| ACCt−1 | 0.075 | 0.074 | 0.001 | 0.07 |
| LIQ_HLt−1 | 4.360 | 4.414 | −0.054 | −1.24 |
| ACCt−1 × LIQ_HLt−1 | −0.012 | −0.009 | −0.003 | −0.34 |
| Panel C: Differences in post-match characteristics | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | Control | Treatment | Difference | |
| 0.083 | 0.122 | −0.039 | −0.91 | |
| 5.927 | 6.137 | −0.210 | −1.24 | |
| −0.636 | −0.616 | −0.020 | −0.26 | |
| −0.038 | 0.005 | −0.042 | −1.22 | |
| 0.029 | 0.020 | 0.010 | 0.78 | |
| 0.067 | 0.058 | 0.009 | 0.47 | |
| 0.125 | 0.114 | 0.010 | 0.44 | |
| 0.245 | 0.225 | 0.020 | 0.57 | |
| 0.063 | 0.065 | −0.001 | −0.28 | |
| 0.075 | 0.074 | 0.001 | 0.07 | |
| 4.360 | 4.414 | −0.054 | −1.24 | |
| −0.012 | −0.009 | −0.003 | −0.34 | |
| Panel D: Difference-in-differences test | ||
|---|---|---|
| Variable | Coeff. | t-Stat |
| ACCt () | −0.671** | −3.10 |
| D_T × ACCt () | −0.113 | −0.46 |
| D_A × ACCt () | −1.716** | −2.68 |
| D_T × D_A × ACCt () | 1.767* | 2.24 |
| Fiscal year-end month fixed effects | Yes | |
| Industry fixed effects | Yes | |
| N | 1,224 | |
| R2 | 0.120 | |
| + | −0.784** | 5.17 |
| + | −2.388** | 3.95 |
| + + + | −0.734† | 1.71 |
| + | 0.050 | 0.10 |
| Panel D: Difference-in-differences test | ||
|---|---|---|
| Variable | Coeff. | |
| −0.671** | −3.10 | |
| −0.113 | −0.46 | |
| −1.716** | −2.68 | |
| 1.767* | 2.24 | |
| Fiscal year-end month fixed effects | Yes | |
| Industry fixed effects | Yes | |
| 1,224 | ||
| 0.120 | ||
| −0.784** | 5.17 | |
| −2.388** | 3.95 | |
| −0.734† | 1.71 | |
| 0.050 | 0.10 | |
| Panel E: Falsification test | ||
|---|---|---|
| Variable | Coeff. | t-stat |
| ACCt () | −0.495† | −1.94 |
| D_T × ACCt () | −0.202 | −0.50 |
| D_A × ACCt () | 0.269 | 0.67 |
| D_T × D_A × ACCt () | 0.057 | 0.10 |
| Fiscal year-end month fixed effects | Yes | |
| Industry fixed effects | Yes | |
| N | 728 | |
| R2 | 0.116 | |
| + | −0.697* | 2.25 |
| + | −0.227 | 0.75 |
| + + + | −0.371 | 1.41 |
| + | 0.326 | 0.82 |
| Panel E: Falsification test | ||
|---|---|---|
| Variable | Coeff. | |
| −0.495† | −1.94 | |
| −0.202 | −0.50 | |
| 0.269 | 0.67 | |
| 0.057 | 0.10 | |
| Fiscal year-end month fixed effects | Yes | |
| Industry fixed effects | Yes | |
| 728 | ||
| 0.116 | ||
| −0.697* | 2.25 | |
| −0.227 | 0.75 | |
| −0.371 | 1.41 | |
| 0.326 | 0.82 | |
Note(s): This table reports diagnostics and results of the DiD test on how exogenous changes in stock liquidity resulting from the minimum tick size decimalization affect the negative relation between accruals and future stock returns. Sample selection begins with all firms with non-missing matching variables in the pre-decimalization year (t−1) and the post-decimalization year (t+1), with t indicating the year of decimalization. On the basis of the change in stock liquidity surrounding the decimalization (ΔLIQ_HLt−1 to t+1), we sort 1,837 sample firms into three equal groups and retain only the top group with the greatest improvement in stock liquidity (the treatment group) and the bottom group with the least improvement (the control group). We match firms by using one-to-one nearest neighbor propensity score matching, without replacement. Panel A presents parameter estimates from the Probit model used to compute the propensity scores for matching. The dependent variable is 1 if the firm is in the treatment group and 0 if otherwise. The “Pre-match” column reports parameter estimates from the Probit model obtained using the sample prior to the matching. These estimates are used to generate the propensity score for matching. The “Post-match” column reports parameter estimates from the Probit model obtained using the matched observations. Panel B reports the statistical distribution of estimated propensity scores separately for matched treatment and control firms. Panel C reports comparisons of observable characteristics between matched treatment and control firms and the corresponding t-statistics. Panel D reports the DiD test results. Panel E reports results from the falsification test. In Panels A, E and F, the t-statistics are calculated by using cluster-robust standard errors clustered by firm.**, * and † denote statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively, using a two-tailed test
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