Results of the second-stage Heckman regression
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dep. Var | BHAR[−1, 1] | BHAR[−2, 2] | BHAR[−3, 3] | BHAR[−5, 5] | BHAR[−10, 10] |
| Panel A: Overall market reaction to MBE | |||||
| MBE | 0.006*** (0.000) | 0.006*** (0.000) | 0.007*** (0.000) | 0.007*** (0.000) | 0.008*** (0.000) |
| Inverse Mills | −0.004 (0.216) | −0.007* (0.071) | −0.007* (0.082) | −0.005 (0.277) | −0.010 (0.126) |
| Constant | 0.010 (0.575) | 0.027 (0.226) | 0.046* (0.075) | 0.044 (0.130) | 0.102** (0.014) |
| Controls | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Year fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Industry fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Observations | 9,898 | 9,831 | 9,773 | 9,539 | 8,813 |
| R2 | 0.019 | 0.025 | 0.024 | 0.025 | 0.024 |
| Panel B: Market reactions to meeting/just beating analyst forecasts | |||||
| SMBEATa1 | 0.002 (0.247) | 0.002 (0.135) | 0.003 (0.106) | 0.003 (0.187) | 0.002 (0.493) |
| BIGBEATa2 | 0.007*** (0.000) | 0.008*** (0.000) | 0.009*** (0.000) | 0.009*** (0.000) | 0.011*** (0.000) |
| Inverse Mills | −0.003 (0.464) | −0.006 (0.296) | −0.007* (0.095) | −0.005 (0.615) | −0.010 (0.140) |
| Constant | 0.010 (0.731) | 0.026 (0.451) | 0.045* (0.080) | 0.043 (0.411) | 0.101** (0.015) |
| Controls | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Year fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Industry fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Observations | 9,898 | 9,831 | 9,773 | 9,539 | 8,813 |
| R2 | 0.020 | 0.026 | 0.025 | 0.025 | 0.025 |
| Test of equality of coefficients | |||||
| p-value (H0: a1 = a2) | 0.010 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.013 | 0.006 |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dep. Var | |||||
| 0.006*** (0.000) | 0.006*** (0.000) | 0.007*** (0.000) | 0.007*** (0.000) | 0.008*** (0.000) | |
| −0.004 (0.216) | −0.007* (0.071) | −0.007* (0.082) | −0.005 (0.277) | −0.010 (0.126) | |
| Constant | 0.010 (0.575) | 0.027 (0.226) | 0.046* (0.075) | 0.044 (0.130) | 0.102** (0.014) |
| Controls | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Year fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Industry fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Observations | 9,898 | 9,831 | 9,773 | 9,539 | 8,813 |
| 0.019 | 0.025 | 0.024 | 0.025 | 0.024 | |
| 0.002 (0.247) | 0.002 (0.135) | 0.003 (0.106) | 0.003 (0.187) | 0.002 (0.493) | |
| 0.007*** (0.000) | 0.008*** (0.000) | 0.009*** (0.000) | 0.009*** (0.000) | 0.011*** (0.000) | |
| −0.003 (0.464) | −0.006 (0.296) | −0.007* (0.095) | −0.005 (0.615) | −0.010 (0.140) | |
| Constant | 0.010 (0.731) | 0.026 (0.451) | 0.045* (0.080) | 0.043 (0.411) | 0.101** (0.015) |
| Controls | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Year fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Industry fixed effects | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Observations | 9,898 | 9,831 | 9,773 | 9,539 | 8,813 |
| 0.020 | 0.026 | 0.025 | 0.025 | 0.025 | |
| 0.010 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.013 | 0.006 | |
Note(s): This table presents the results for the second-stage Heckman regression analysis of the overall market reaction to MBE (Panel A) and market reactions to meeting/just beating analyst forecasts (Panel B) over the three-, five-, seven-, 11- and 21-day event windows around earnings announcements, respectively. In Panel A (Panel B), non-MBE firms serve as the control group omitted from the regression for comparison with MBE (SMBEAT and BIGBEAT). Appendix 3 reports the results for the first-stage Heckman regression. All control variables are included in the regressions, but their results are not tabulated for the sake of brevity. The test of equality of coefficients is an F-test. All variables are defined in Appendix 1. p-values for two-tailed tests are given in parentheses and are based on robust standard errors clustered by firm and year. *, ** and *** indicate statistical significance at the 10, 5 and 1% levels, respectively
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