Variables used in this study
| Symbol | Name | Definition | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pit | Price | Cryptocurrency price | coindesk.com |
| LPRICE | Natural log of price | ||
| RETit | Daily return | Daily return, ln[p(t)/p(t-1)] of i th cryptocurrency on day t; also called ΔLPRICE | |
| ΔLPRICE | Difference in log price of cryptos, daily return | ln[p(t+1)/p(t)] = ln[p(t+1)] – ln[p(t)] = RET | |
| Rstock | Daily change in index | Three indices are used: 1) S&P 500; 2) MSCI emerging markets; 3) MSCI World | yahoo.com; msci.com |
| Δyield | Daily change in treasury yields | Three U.S. treasury yields: 1) 3-month T-Bill; 2) 10-year T-Note; 3) 30-year T-Bond | fred.stlouisfed.org |
| RGold | Daily gold return | Gold daily return, ln(pt/pt−1) of i th currency on day t | gold.org |
| ΔVolm | Daily volume | Daily volume of crypto transactions in $ billions | coindesk.com |
| ΔVolt | Volatility of crypto | Volatility (standard deviation of last five days' daily return) | cboe.com |
| ΔVIX | Implied option volatility | Daily VIX | cboe.com |
| (a) Excess return (constant term); (b) ARCH coeff | Used in 2 places; (a) five-factor Fama-French factor analysis; (b) GARCH | (a) French website | |
| (a) Five Fama-French factros; (b) GARCH coeff | Used in 2 places: (a) βM:market, βS:size, βH:value, βR:profitability, βC:style; (b) GARCH | (a) French website | |
| RFt | Daily risk-free rate | One-month treasury bill rate (from Ibbotson associates) | French website |
| RMt | Daily market return | Value-weight return of all CRSP firms incorporated in the US | French website |
| or C | Constant term in regression | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of daily return on S&P 500 | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of daily return on MSCI EM | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of daily return on MSCI World | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of 3-month T-Bill yield daily change | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of 10-year T-Note yield daily change | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of 30-year T-Bond yield daily change | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of daily gold return | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of cryptocurrency change in daily volume | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of cryptocurrency change in volatility of past 5 day returns | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of change in daily VIX | ||
| Regression residual term in pooled OLS, FEM | |||
| Regression residual term in REM | wit = μit + εi, εi is a random error term with mean 0 and variance | ||
| Random error term | εi is a random error term with mean 0 and variance | ||
| Variance of the random error term | Used in wt | ||
| Two uncorrelated white-noise | |||
| Xt and Yt | Two stationary time series | Xt and Yt are two stationary time series with zero mean | |
| A positive term in GARCH | Xt exogenous variable(s) are presumed to effect | ||
| Conditional variance of daily returns | Used in GARCH volatility model |
| Symbol | Name | Definition | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price | Cryptocurrency price | ||
| Natural log of price | |||
| Daily return | Daily return, ln[ | ||
| Difference in log price of cryptos, daily return | ln[ | ||
| Daily change in index | Three indices are used: 1) S&P 500; 2) MSCI emerging markets; 3) MSCI World | ||
| Δyield | Daily change in treasury yields | Three U.S. treasury yields: 1) 3-month T-Bill; 2) 10-year | |
| Daily gold return | Gold daily return, ln( | ||
| Daily volume | Daily volume of crypto transactions in $ billions | ||
| Volatility of crypto | Volatility (standard deviation of last five days' daily return) | ||
| Implied option volatility | Daily VIX | ||
| (a) Excess return (constant term); (b) ARCH coeff | Used in 2 places; (a) five-factor Fama-French factor analysis; (b) GARCH | (a) French website | |
| (a) Five Fama-French factros; (b) GARCH coeff | Used in 2 places: (a) | (a) French website | |
| Daily risk-free rate | One-month treasury bill rate (from Ibbotson associates) | French website | |
| Daily market return | Value-weight return of all CRSP firms incorporated in the US | French website | |
| Constant term in regression | |||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of daily return on S&P 500 | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of daily return on MSCI EM | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of daily return on MSCI World | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of 3-month T-Bill yield daily change | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of 10-year T-Note yield daily change | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of 30-year T-Bond yield daily change | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of daily gold return | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of cryptocurrency change in daily volume | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of cryptocurrency change in volatility of past 5 day returns | ||
| Regression coefficient | Regression coefficient of change in daily VIX | ||
| Regression residual term in pooled OLS, FEM | |||
| Regression residual term in REM | |||
| Random error term | |||
| Variance of the random error term | Used in | ||
| Two uncorrelated white-noise | |||
| Two stationary time series | |||
| A positive term in GARCH | |||
| Conditional variance of daily returns | Used in GARCH volatility model |
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