Results from Metropolis-Hastings (parameters)
| Prior | Posterior | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dist | Param. 1 | Param. 2 | Mean | Stdev | HPD inf | HPD sup | |
| ρr | beta | 0.500 | 0.2000 | 0.138 | 0.0773 | 0.0152 | 0.2512 |
| ρAT | beta | 0.500 | 0.2000 | 0.681 | 0.1523 | 0.4615 | 0.8968 |
| ρAN | beta | 0.500 | 0.2000 | 0.763 | 0.1005 | 0.6203 | 0.8977 |
| ρAC | beta | 0.500 | 0.2000 | 0.626 | 0.1694 | 0.3773 | 0.8872 |
| ϕT | gamm | 10.000 | 5.0000 | 27.091 | 6.1498 | 17.1666 | 36.8822 |
| ϕN | gamm | 10.000 | 5.0000 | 26.413 | 6.0715 | 16.6146 | 36.1145 |
| ϕCM | gamm | 10.000 | 5.0000 | 21.906 | 5.8056 | 12.2687 | 30.8925 |
| ηT | gamm | 2.000 | 1.0000 | 1.703 | 0.8075 | 0.4597 | 2.8967 |
| ηN | gamm | 2.000 | 1.0000 | 2.823 | 1.1384 | 0.9981 | 4.6068 |
| ηCM | gamm | 2.000 | 1.0000 | 1.950 | 0.9855 | 0.4659 | 3.3853 |
| ιT | gamm | 10.000 | 5.0000 | 3.247 | 2.2132 | 0.4258 | 6.2257 |
| ιN | gamm | 10.000 | 5.0000 | 7.709 | 3.7369 | 2.0169 | 13.5069 |
| ιC | gamm | 10.000 | 5.0000 | 14.170 | 5.5727 | 5.2590 | 22.5931 |
| Prior | Posterior | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dist | Param. 1 | Param. 2 | Mean | Stdev | HPD inf | HPD sup | |
| beta | 0.500 | 0.2000 | 0.138 | 0.0773 | 0.0152 | 0.2512 | |
| beta | 0.500 | 0.2000 | 0.681 | 0.1523 | 0.4615 | 0.8968 | |
| beta | 0.500 | 0.2000 | 0.763 | 0.1005 | 0.6203 | 0.8977 | |
| beta | 0.500 | 0.2000 | 0.626 | 0.1694 | 0.3773 | 0.8872 | |
| gamm | 10.000 | 5.0000 | 27.091 | 6.1498 | 17.1666 | 36.8822 | |
| gamm | 10.000 | 5.0000 | 26.413 | 6.0715 | 16.6146 | 36.1145 | |
| gamm | 10.000 | 5.0000 | 21.906 | 5.8056 | 12.2687 | 30.8925 | |
| gamm | 2.000 | 1.0000 | 1.703 | 0.8075 | 0.4597 | 2.8967 | |
| gamm | 2.000 | 1.0000 | 2.823 | 1.1384 | 0.9981 | 4.6068 | |
| gamm | 2.000 | 1.0000 | 1.950 | 0.9855 | 0.4659 | 3.3853 | |
| gamm | 10.000 | 5.0000 | 3.247 | 2.2132 | 0.4258 | 6.2257 | |
| gamm | 10.000 | 5.0000 | 7.709 | 3.7369 | 2.0169 | 13.5069 | |
| gamm | 10.000 | 5.0000 | 14.170 | 5.5727 | 5.2590 | 22.5931 | |
Note(s): Posterior statistics are generated using 2 millions draws from the posterior distribution. For uniform prior distributions, “Param. 1” and “Param. 2” refer to the lower and upper bound of the support of the distribution, respectively. For Beta, Gamma and Inverse Gamma distributions, they refer to the mean and standard deviation, respectively
Source(s): Prepared by the authors
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