Summary of projected effects of various macroeconomic variables on bank performance indicators
| Macroeconomic variable | Bank performance indicator | Projected effects |
|---|---|---|
| Return on assets | ||
| Macroeconomic uncertainty | Negative | |
| Inflation uncertainty | Negative | |
| Recessionary probability | Negative | |
| Inflation expectations | Negative | |
| Inflation | Negative | |
| Return on equity | ||
| Macroeconomic uncertainty | Negative | |
| Inflation uncertainty | Negative | |
| Recessionary probability | Negative | |
| Inflation expectations | Negative | |
| Inflation | Negative | |
| NIM (proxy for Bank Efficiency) | ||
| Macroeconomic uncertainty | Positive | |
| Inflation uncertainty | Positive | |
| Recessionary probability | Positive | |
| Inflation expectations | Positive | |
| Inflation | Positive | |
| Macroeconomic variable | Bank performance indicator | Projected effects |
|---|---|---|
| Macroeconomic uncertainty | Negative | |
| Inflation uncertainty | Negative | |
| Recessionary probability | Negative | |
| Inflation expectations | Negative | |
| Inflation | Negative | |
| Macroeconomic uncertainty | Negative | |
| Inflation uncertainty | Negative | |
| Recessionary probability | Negative | |
| Inflation expectations | Negative | |
| Inflation | Negative | |
| Macroeconomic uncertainty | Positive | |
| Inflation uncertainty | Positive | |
| Recessionary probability | Positive | |
| Inflation expectations | Positive | |
| Inflation | Positive | |
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