Descriptive statistics of the series with unit root test
| Series | Non-commercial | Futures | WTI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net positions (TA) | Two months (CL2) | Spot | |
| Mean | 94,274 | 53.21 | 52.93 |
| Median | 37,874 | 48.08 | 47.01 |
| Minimum | −71,928 | 11.26 | 10.82 |
| Maximum | 5.57 × 105 | 145.86 | 145.31 |
| Stddev | 1.28 × 105 | 30.70 | 30.50 |
| Skewness | 1.18 | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| Kurtosis | 0.38 | −0.93 | −0.92 |
| N | 1,159 | 1,159 | 1,159 |
| Jarque–Bera test | 278.24 p < 0.05 | 88.04 p < 0.05 | 91.37 p < 0.05 |
| ADF with const | −1.74 | −1.66 | −2.07 |
| p -value | 0.41 | 0.45 | 0.26 |
| ADF with const and trend | −1.76 | −1.63 | −4.37 |
| p -value | 0.72 | 0.78 | 0.00* |
| ADF_GLS τ | −1.89 | −1.77 | −1.48 |
| Critical value | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 |
| KPSS test | 9.16 | 9.36 | 10.24 |
| Critical value | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 |
| PP test Z τ | −1.81 | −1.78 | −1.76 |
| p-value | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| Series | Non-commercial | Futures | WTI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net positions (TA) | Two months (CL2) | Spot | |
| Mean | 94,274 | 53.21 | 52.93 |
| Median | 37,874 | 48.08 | 47.01 |
| Minimum | −71,928 | 11.26 | 10.82 |
| Maximum | 5.57 × 105 | 145.86 | 145.31 |
| Stddev | 1.28 × 105 | 30.70 | 30.50 |
| Skewness | 1.18 | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| Kurtosis | 0.38 | −0.93 | −0.92 |
| N | 1,159 | 1,159 | 1,159 |
| Jarque–Bera test | 278.24 | 88.04 | 91.37 |
| ADF with const | −1.74 | −1.66 | −2.07 |
| 0.41 | 0.45 | 0.26 | |
| ADF with const and trend | −1.76 | −1.63 | −4.37 |
| 0.72 | 0.78 | 0.00* | |
| ADF_GLS τ | −1.89 | −1.77 | −1.48 |
| Critical value | −2.89 | −2.89 | −2.89 |
| KPSS test | 9.16 | 9.36 | 10.24 |
| Critical value | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 |
| PP test Z τ | −1.81 | −1.78 | −1.76 |
| 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.40 |
Note(s): * Indicates stationarity at 5% level (α = 0.05)
Testing down from 22 lags and BIC criterion for ADF and ADF-GLS
Source(s): Personal elaborations on Datastream (2021) and Quandl (2021)