A mediation analysis using firm-level risk
| Panel A. Mediation analysis | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
| Book dev | Ln(RISK) | Book dev | Market dev | Ln(RISK) | Market dev | |
| Covid Exposure | 0.004*** | 0.237*** | 0.003** | −0.009*** | 0.231*** | −0.007*** |
| (0.002) | (0.012) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.012) | (0.001) | |
| Ln(RISK) | 0.004*** | −0.006*** | ||||
| (0.001) | (0.001) | |||||
| EBIT/TA | −1.119*** | −1.052*** | ||||
| (0.319) | (0.319) | |||||
| M2B | −0.076*** | −0.072*** | ||||
| (0.013) | (0.013) | |||||
| Depreciation | −7.550 | −6.355 | ||||
| (6.524) | (6.503) | |||||
| Size | −0.318*** | −0.330*** | ||||
| (0.069) | (0.068) | |||||
| Tangibility | 0.617 | 0.533 | ||||
| (0.386) | (0.385) | |||||
| R&D/TA | −2.913** | −2.940** | ||||
| (1.234) | (1.231) | |||||
| R&D Dummy | 0.077 | 0.076 | ||||
| (0.065) | (0.065) | |||||
| Ind Median Book Lev | −4.201 | |||||
| (3.796) | ||||||
| Ind Median Market Lev | −29.123*** | |||||
| (5.573) | ||||||
| Constant | 0.221*** | 7.297*** | 0.207*** | 0.304*** | 12.021*** | 0.326*** |
| (0.002) | (1.147) | (0.006) | (0.002) | (1.248) | (0.004) | |
| Observations | 11,259 | 11,259 | 11,259 | 11,259 | 11,259 | 11,259 |
| R-squared | 0.992 | 0.417 | 0.992 | 0.945 | 0.418 | 0.945 |
| Firm FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Qtr FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Note(s): In Table 8, we used the Hassan et al. (2020)’s firm-level risk, Covid-exposure, and Covid Risk measures to conduct a mediation analysis and examine the degree of deviation from the target ratio induced by the exposure to the pandemic; how the exposure to the pandemic has increased the overall risk faced by the firm; and whether firm-level risk fully or partially mediates the effect of the pandemic on target deviation The samples range between 2020Q2-2021Q4 Robust standard errors are presented in parentheses. ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1 signifies significance at 1%, 5%, and 10% respectively Source(s): Table by authors | ||||||
| Panel A. Mediation analysis | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
| Book dev | Ln(RISK) | Book dev | Market dev | Ln(RISK) | Market dev | |
| Covid Exposure | 0.004*** | 0.237*** | 0.003** | −0.009*** | 0.231*** | −0.007*** |
| (0.002) | (0.012) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.012) | (0.001) | |
| Ln(RISK) | 0.004*** | −0.006*** | ||||
| (0.001) | (0.001) | |||||
| EBIT/TA | −1.119*** | −1.052*** | ||||
| (0.319) | (0.319) | |||||
| M2B | −0.076*** | −0.072*** | ||||
| (0.013) | (0.013) | |||||
| Depreciation | −7.550 | −6.355 | ||||
| (6.524) | (6.503) | |||||
| Size | −0.318*** | −0.330*** | ||||
| (0.069) | (0.068) | |||||
| Tangibility | 0.617 | 0.533 | ||||
| (0.386) | (0.385) | |||||
| R&D/TA | −2.913** | −2.940** | ||||
| (1.234) | (1.231) | |||||
| R&D Dummy | 0.077 | 0.076 | ||||
| (0.065) | (0.065) | |||||
| Ind Median Book Lev | −4.201 | |||||
| (3.796) | ||||||
| Ind Median Market Lev | −29.123*** | |||||
| (5.573) | ||||||
| Constant | 0.221*** | 7.297*** | 0.207*** | 0.304*** | 12.021*** | 0.326*** |
| (0.002) | (1.147) | (0.006) | (0.002) | (1.248) | (0.004) | |
| Observations | 11,259 | 11,259 | 11,259 | 11,259 | 11,259 | 11,259 |
| R-squared | 0.992 | 0.417 | 0.992 | 0.945 | 0.418 | 0.945 |
| Firm FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Qtr FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Panel B. COVID exposure and SOA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | Low exposure | High exposure | Low exposure | High exposure |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
| Book dev | Book dev | Market dev | Market dev | |
| Book Dev | 0.059*** | 0.078*** | ||
| (0.007) | (0.007) | |||
| Market Dev | 0.109*** | 0.147*** | ||
| (0.008) | (0.011) | |||
| Constant | −0.021*** | −0.018*** | −0.049*** | −0.059*** |
| (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.003) | (0.003) | |
| Observations | 5,864 | 5,395 | 5,864 | 5,395 |
| R-squared | 0.336 | 0.394 | 0.422 | 0.441 |
| Firm FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Qtr FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Note(s): This table report the findings of how different levels of exposure to the pandemic affected the SOA. High Exposure is when the values are higher than the median values, and low exposure is otherwise. The data is based on Hassan et al. (2020). Robust standard errors are presented in parentheses. ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1 signifies significance at 1%, 5%, and 10% respectively Source(s): Table by authors | ||||
| Panel B. COVID exposure and SOA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | Low exposure | High exposure | Low exposure | High exposure |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
| Book dev | Book dev | Market dev | Market dev | |
| Book Dev | 0.059*** | 0.078*** | ||
| (0.007) | (0.007) | |||
| Market Dev | 0.109*** | 0.147*** | ||
| (0.008) | (0.011) | |||
| Constant | −0.021*** | −0.018*** | −0.049*** | −0.059*** |
| (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.003) | (0.003) | |
| Observations | 5,864 | 5,395 | 5,864 | 5,395 |
| R-squared | 0.336 | 0.394 | 0.422 | 0.441 |
| Firm FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Qtr FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Panel C. COVID risk and SOA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low risk | High risk | Low risk | High risk | |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
| Variables | Book dev | Book dev | Market dev | Market dev |
| Book Dev | 0.067*** | 0.091*** | ||
| (0.006) | (0.009) | |||
| Market Dev | 0.126*** | 0.132*** | ||
| (0.007) | (0.013) | |||
| Constant | −0.019*** | −0.028*** | −0.052*** | −0.060*** |
| (0.001) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.004) | |
| Observations | 7,533 | 3,726 | 7,533 | 3,726 |
| R-squared | 0.319 | 0.510 | 0.390 | 0.509 |
| Firm FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Qtr FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Panel C. COVID risk and SOA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low risk | High risk | Low risk | High risk | |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
| Variables | Book dev | Book dev | Market dev | Market dev |
| Book Dev | 0.067*** | 0.091*** | ||
| (0.006) | (0.009) | |||
| Market Dev | 0.126*** | 0.132*** | ||
| (0.007) | (0.013) | |||
| Constant | −0.019*** | −0.028*** | −0.052*** | −0.060*** |
| (0.001) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.004) | |
| Observations | 7,533 | 3,726 | 7,533 | 3,726 |
| R-squared | 0.319 | 0.510 | 0.390 | 0.509 |
| Firm FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Qtr FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Note(s): This table presents a robustness check to the usage of Covid exposure by using Covid risk measure. High Risk is when the values are higher than the median values, and low risk is otherwise. Again, the data is based on Hassan et al. (2020). Robust standard errors are presented in parentheses. ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1 signifies significance at 1%, 5% and 10%, respectively
Source(s): Table by authors
Sharing content requires targeting cookies to be enabled. Please update your cookie preferences to use this feature.