Linear ARDL estimates – dependent variable: Δhouse prices
| Coefficients | t-Statistics | |
|---|---|---|
| ADJ − Error correct (ECM) Log house price | −0.055*** | −3.15 |
| Long run | ||
| Log household income per capita | 0.527*** | 3.68 |
| Mortgage rate on new loans | −0.018*** | −3.77 |
| Log index of buildings completed | 0.745*** | 3.97 |
| CPI | −0.002 | −0.36 |
| Short-run | ||
| Log house prices | ||
| LD | 0.863*** | 9.44 |
| L2D | −0.670*** | −6.79 |
| L3D | 0.439*** | 4.28 |
| L4D | −0.482*** | −5.19 |
| L5D | 0.213*** | 2.94 |
| Log household income per capita | 0.020 | 0.39 |
| D1 | −0.012 | −0.25 |
| LD | 0.053 | 1.07 |
| L2D | ||
| Mortgage rate on new loans | −0.002** | −2.44 |
| D1 | 0.002** | 2.21 |
| LD | ||
| Log index of buildings plans passed | −0.023 | −1.49 |
| D1 | −0.008 | −0.54 |
| LD | −0.008 | −0.58 |
| L2D | ||
| CPI | −0.001** | −2.46 |
| D1 | 0.001* | 1.85 |
| LD | 0.000 | 0.17 |
| L2D | 0.134*** | 3.88 |
| Constant |
| Coefficients | ||
|---|---|---|
| ADJ − Error correct (ECM) | −0.055*** | −3.15 |
| Log household income per capita | 0.527*** | 3.68 |
| Mortgage rate on new loans | −0.018*** | −3.77 |
| Log index of buildings completed | 0.745*** | 3.97 |
| −0.002 | −0.36 | |
| Log house prices | ||
| 0.863*** | 9.44 | |
| −0.670*** | −6.79 | |
| 0.439*** | 4.28 | |
| −0.482*** | −5.19 | |
| 0.213*** | 2.94 | |
| Log household income per capita | 0.020 | 0.39 |
| −0.012 | −0.25 | |
| 0.053 | 1.07 | |
| Mortgage rate on new loans | −0.002** | −2.44 |
| 0.002** | 2.21 | |
| Log index of buildings plans passed | −0.023 | −1.49 |
| −0.008 | −0.54 | |
| −0.008 | −0.58 | |
| −0.001** | −2.46 | |
| 0.001 | 1.85 | |
| 0.000 | 0.17 | |
| 0.134*** | 3.88 | |
| Constant |
Note:
*, ** and *** denote 10, 5 and 1%, respectively