Table 5

Logit regression model of rural house expansion in Pudong New Area

Model statisticsValues
Chi-square1656.856***459.169***1,713.338***3634.518***
−2 log likelihood32292.32933896.39332525.66129587.145
Nagelkerke's R-square0.1020.0240.0910.252
Predictive efficiency66.9%58.2%64.7%74.8%
Hosmer–Lemeshow test significance0.6710.5880.6600.749
VariablesEstimatesOdds ratioEstimatesOdds ratioEstimatesOdds ratioEstimatesOdds ratio
Initial building area of main rooma−0.004 (0.001)0.996***    −0.004 (0.001)0.996***
Initial building area of auxiliar rooma−0.007 (0.001)0.993***    −0.010 (0.001)0.990***
Initial building area of sheda−0.012 (0.003)0.988***    −0.012 (0.003)0.989***
Initial FAR of main rooma0.891 (0.036)2.438***    1.011 (0.039)2.749***
Initial FAR of auxiliar rooma−0.347 (0.032)0.707***    −0.294 (0.034)0.745***
Initial FAR of sheda−0.773 (0.095)0.462***    −0.780 (0.098)0.458***
Age of household headb  0.007 (0.001)1.007***  0.013 (0.002)1.013***
Gender of household headb  −0.016 (0.031)0.985  −0.021 (0.033)0.979
Household sizeb  0.046 (0.017)1.047**  0.154 (0.019)1.166***
Number of household laborsb  0.116 (0.017)1.123***  0.131 (0.019)1.140***
Number of urban hukoub  0.027 (0.009)1.027**  −0.153 (0.012)0.858***
Number of Household headsb  0.039 (0.025)1.040***  0.244 (0.028)1.276***
Road network densityc    0.405 (0.019)1.500***0.335 (0.021)1.398***
Convenience-of-livingc    0.004 (0.001)1.004***0.005 (0.001)1.005***
Ratio of cultivation landc    −0.034 (0.112)0.967−0.033 (0.123)0.967
Distance to downtownc    −0.062 (0.005)0.940***−0.102 (0.006)0.903***
Distance to townc    0.068 (0.013)1.071***0.001 (0.013)1.000
Constant−1.457 (0.055)0.233***−1.590 (0.067)0.204***−2.047 (0.112)0.129***−3.931 (0.156)0.020***

Note(s):a Plot characteristics. b Household characteristics. c Village characteristics

*p ≤ 0.05. **p ≤ 0.01. ***p ≤ 0.001

Source(s): Authors' own work

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