Comparison of regression analyses
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital raised | Relative success of campaign | Success of campaign | ||||||||||
| Variables (measure) | (Log of euro) | (Log of percent) | (Binary) | |||||||||
| Estimate | Standard error | p-value | Estimate | Standard error | p-value | Estimate | Standard error | p-value | ||||
| Platform features | ||||||||||||
| Size (log of count) | 0.9 | 0.754 | 0.234 | −0.463 | 4.08 | 0.556 | 0.004 | 0.011 | 0.707 | |||
| Variety (index, 0 to 100) | 0.313 | 0.001 | 0.006*** | 0.232 | 0.782 | 0.033** | 0.047 | 0.019 | 0.016*** | |||
| Variety2 | −0.003 | 0.001 | 0.006*** | −0.002 | 0.108 | 0.016** | 0 | 0 | 0.003*** | |||
| Balance (index, 0 to 100) | 0.079 | 0.034 | 0.021** | −0.015 | 0.001 | 0.735 | 0 | 0.007 | 0.986 | |||
| Track record (log of count) | −0.012 | 0.251 | 0.962 | −0.023 | 0.216 | 0.279 | −0.003 | 0.005 | 0.568 | |||
| Issuer features | ||||||||||||
| Geographical distance (Km) | 0.071 | 0.082 | 0.392 | 0.065 | 0.054 | 0.228 | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.318 | |||
| Shareholders (count) | 0.008 | 0.005 | 0.072* | 0.018 | 0.007 | 0.008*** | 0.009 | 0.021 | 0.667 | |||
| Board members (count) | 0.093 | 0.093 | 0.093 | 0.058 | 0.079 | 0.462 | 0.005 | 0.003 | 0.163 | |||
| Industrial shareholders (binary) | 0.913 | 0.285 | 0.002*** | 0.863 | 0.306 | 0.005*** | 0.102 | 0.061 | 0.093* | |||
| Campaign features | ||||||||||||
| Business angels (binary) | 0.228 | 0.35 | 0.515 | 0.263 | 0.239 | 0.273 | 0.04 | 0.056 | 0.47 | |||
| Prize for subscription (binary) | 0.669 | 0.488 | 0.172 | 0.137 | 0.419 | 0.774 | 0.181 | 0.072 | 0.011*** | |||
| Equity retention (log of percent) | 0.139 | 0.189 | 0.464 | 0.03 | 0.096 | 0.751 | 0.005 | 0.006 | 0.456 | |||
| Fork width (percent) | 0.004 | 0.01 | 0.683 | – | – | – | 0.004 | 0.002 | 0.018** | |||
| Maximum target (log of €) | 0.083 | 0.332 | 0.803 | – | – | – | −0.001 | 0 | 0.022** | |||
| Minimum investment (log of €) | 0.389 | 0.192 | 0.045** | 0.03 | 0.232 | 0.899 | 0.000 | 0 | 0.31 | |||
| Share premium (log of €) | 0.07 | 0.15 | 0.642 | 0.013 | 0.027 | 0.619 | −0.009 | 0.023 | 0.695 | |||
| Take-it-all (binary) | 0.567 | 1.07 | 0.595 | – | – | – | −0.124 | 0.092 | 0.175 | |||
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capital raised | Relative success of campaign | Success of campaign | ||||||||||
| Variables (measure) | (Log of euro) | (Log of percent) | (Binary) | |||||||||
| Estimate | Standard error | Estimate | Standard error | Estimate | Standard error | |||||||
| Size (log of count) | 0.9 | 0.754 | 0.234 | −0.463 | 4.08 | 0.556 | 0.004 | 0.011 | 0.707 | |||
| Variety (index, 0 to 100) | ||||||||||||
| Variety2 | ||||||||||||
| Balance (index, 0 to 100) | −0.015 | 0.001 | 0.735 | 0 | 0.007 | 0.986 | ||||||
| Track record (log of count) | −0.012 | 0.251 | 0.962 | −0.023 | 0.216 | 0.279 | −0.003 | 0.005 | 0.568 | |||
| Geographical distance (Km) | 0.071 | 0.082 | 0.392 | 0.065 | 0.054 | 0.228 | 0.003 | 0.003 | 0.318 | |||
| Shareholders (count) | 0.009 | 0.021 | 0.667 | |||||||||
| Board members (count) | 0.093 | 0.093 | 0.093 | 0.058 | 0.079 | 0.462 | 0.005 | 0.003 | 0.163 | |||
| Industrial shareholders (binary) | ||||||||||||
| Business angels (binary) | 0.228 | 0.35 | 0.515 | 0.263 | 0.239 | 0.273 | 0.04 | 0.056 | 0.47 | |||
| Prize for subscription (binary) | 0.669 | 0.488 | 0.172 | 0.137 | 0.419 | 0.774 | ||||||
| Equity retention (log of percent) | 0.139 | 0.189 | 0.464 | 0.03 | 0.096 | 0.751 | 0.005 | 0.006 | 0.456 | |||
| Fork width (percent) | 0.004 | 0.01 | 0.683 | – | – | – | ||||||
| Maximum target (log of €) | 0.083 | 0.332 | 0.803 | – | – | – | ||||||
| Minimum investment (log of €) | 0.03 | 0.232 | 0.899 | 0.000 | 0 | 0.31 | ||||||
| Share premium (log of €) | 0.07 | 0.15 | 0.642 | 0.013 | 0.027 | 0.619 | −0.009 | 0.023 | 0.695 | |||
| Take-it-all (binary) | 0.567 | 1.07 | 0.595 | – | – | – | −0.124 | 0.092 | 0.175 | |||
Note(s): The table shows estimated average partial effects. Effects of explanatory variables with marginal probability values of 10% or less are typed as italic face and significance is encoded as: “***” 0.01 “**” 0.05 “*” 0.10. The sample size in Models 1 and 3 is 233 cases, since 9 cases were excluded because of missing values on some explanatory variables and 2 more outlying influential cases were dropped from the 244 cases original data set. In Model 2 the sample size is reduced to 211 cases when the response variable is relative success, because in this case only all-or-nothing campaigns are considered
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